tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6402442722321706627.post4670719628501200091..comments2023-04-03T02:23:21.185+01:00Comments on The Football Analyst: I can live without this variance!Graeme Dandhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508032031340730990noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6402442722321706627.post-21692120353821476112012-02-20T16:52:00.021+00:002012-02-20T16:52:00.021+00:00Hi Les.
Similar to my comment above really. Those...Hi Les.<br /><br />Similar to my comment above really. Those following 6-21 to 8-22 were unlucky as the Lincoln goal turned it from a profitable weekend into a break-even one really. This month, 6-21 is haemorrhaging losses but then again, last month, it was this system that kept the 6 system portfolio afloat. Hence, you can see why following this subset of systems does well most of the time. 6-21 is the high turnover system with the capability of winning and losing a few pts every month but the other 5 systems are fairly steady with a lower level of turnover. <br /><br />Hopefully 6-21 can get back on track soon though as it is pulling down the performance of my proofed results this month! ;) The other 5 systems are on fire!<br /><br />GraemeGraeme Dandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06508032031340730990noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6402442722321706627.post-90812767405052967652012-02-20T16:48:14.243+00:002012-02-20T16:48:14.243+00:00Hi Dartguru.
Yeah, my posts regarding results ca...Hi Dartguru. <br /><br />Yeah, my posts regarding results can sometimes appear to be overly dramatic (especially on a ‘poor’ weekend!) but I agree with what you say. It was very nearly a break-even weekend with Lincoln and simply, that game caused weekend to go from a break-even one to a poor one in my opnion. That’s ignoring the fact that there were a couple of 0-0 draws in there in Scotland on decent priced aways as you say. <br /><br />Being honest, with hindsight, the majority of people are following the combined systems and in that subset, a fair number are following only system 7-22 I suspect or 7-21+. Throw in the fact that some may be doing something with all the systems (i.e. counting up how many times each team appears) and that means they may have only had Aldershot at the weekend and overall, I’m probably in the minority who suffered a loss at the weekend. <br /><br />I try my best to be as honest as I can on the blog and I tell it like it is in terms of the way I feel. Saturday felt a poor day and too many sides went behind early on and it always looked to be a losing day. In a way, I wasn’t surprised Lincoln conceded as I’m not sure I deserved to break-even overall as I was well off the pace in a few games where teams got badly beaten.<br /><br />Anyway, it’s only one set of fixtures and a small blip on my way to continued profitability I hope. I do feel like things have started to turn though and the months of October and November seem a little way off again. I just want to get through the rest of this season with the profits in tact from what I have at the moment! <br /><br />Cheers,<br /><br />GraemeGraeme Dandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06508032031340730990noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6402442722321706627.post-37529326780753106212012-02-20T15:02:58.971+00:002012-02-20T15:02:58.971+00:00Following 6-21 to 8-22 (the 6 established combined...Following 6-21 to 8-22 (the 6 established combined systems) I showed a very small profit (.5 units) on the weekend as I achieved slightly better odds on the winning selections than those quoted, but whilst it continues to on the plus side I'll stay happy. <br />LesLesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6402442722321706627.post-21009255886514935712012-02-20T11:03:38.933+00:002012-02-20T11:03:38.933+00:00Graeme, I'm sure you've said this above, b...Graeme, I'm sure you've said this above, but my terminology is a bit lacking ...... <br /><br />if you'd put £1 on every selection that cropped up on any system (and therefore £20 on Aldershot to win as it appeared on all 20), you'd have staked £147 and returned £114.80 at the odds you've given.<br /><br />However, if Lincoln hadn't conceded late, £9 of that stake would have returned a further £54.20.<br /><br />The two Scottish 0-0s cost £17 but if either had gone the right way would have returned a profit for north of the border.<br /><br />So it was a "very nearly" weekend.<br /><br />As to your comment about betting at odds >5.0, it doesn't bother me as I realise the best profit comes from higher odds. Yes, they are less frequenrly successful, but your systems show a decent enough profit to take the hit.<br /><br />If my records from your blog are correct, using the adaptation of your system as mentioned above, you'd have staked £470 on these and returned £470.10 :-) and that's only because the last £70 have returned nothing, so that confirms the >10%ROI up until 21st Jan at least (and more recently just an annoying downturn).<br /><br />I can't really comment on the AH, as I don't know anything about them and had to use Google to even find out what it meant :-)Dartguruhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13319243421688561009noreply@blogger.com