I will cover the profitability of the systems for this season, along with any observations that have been picked up throughout the season or looking at the results of the systems to date.
I will also calculate revised recommended betting banks for next season for each system.
System 6
A profit of 24.7pts this season and an ROI of 4.3%. DNB produced a profit of 27.7pts and an ROI of 4.8%.
6 winning months for traditional H/A betting (from 9) and DNB betting had 7 winning months.
Premiership Aways had another losing season and that makes it 4 seasons out of 5 for losing seasons on these bets. A loss of 14.7pts from 146 bets in total. DNB lost 7 pts from 146 bets over the 5 seasons.
There is a definite trend where low priced aways appear to be less profitable than they were in the past. During backtesting and live results, they have only produced a profit of 4pts from 158 games for an ROI of 2.59%.
Changes from next season
Dropping all Premiership Aways that don’t appear on system 7
Dropping all Away bets priced lower than 2.5 that don’t appear on system 8
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 22pts. Suggested Bank 55pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 13pts. Suggested Bank is 35pts.
System 7
System 7
A profit of 14.4pts and an ROI of 4.9%. DNB produced a profit of 21pts and an ROI of 7.2%.
7 winnings month and 2 losing months for both H/A betting and DNB betting.
There is a definite trend where low priced aways appear to be less profitable than they were in the past. During backtesting and live results, they have only produced a profit of 1pts from 55 games for an ROI of 2.56%.
Changes from next season
Dropping all Away bets priced lower than 2.5 that don’t appear on system 8
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 21pts. Suggested Bank 55pts
A profit of 14.3pts and an ROI of 9.0%. DNB produced a profit of 12.3pts and an ROI of 7.7%.
7 winnings month and 2 losing months for H/A betting 6 winning months and 3 losing months for DNB betting.
No clear changing trends for any leagues or any odds ranges.
Changes from next season
None
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 15pts. Suggested Bank 40pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 7pts. Suggested Bank is 25pts.
System 9
System 9
A profit of 0.4pts and an ROI of 0.8%. DNB produced a profit of 1pts and an ROI of 2%.
4 winnings month and 4 losing months for H/A betting 5 winning months and 3 losing months for DNB betting (1 month had no bets)
Not enough data to be able to pick up on any changing trends.
Changes from next season
System will be dropped due to lack of volume of bets.
Suggested Banks
N/A
System 21
System 21
A profit of 22.9pts this season and an ROI of 4.7%. DNB produced a profit of 29.1pts and an ROI of 5.9%.
6 winning months for traditional H/A betting with 8 winning months for DNB betting.
No clear changing trends for any leagues or any odds ranges.
Changes from next season
None
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 25pts. Suggested Bank 65pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 11pts. Suggested Bank is 30pts.
System 22
System 22
A profit of 20.2pts this season and an ROI of 8.2%. DNB produced a profit of 25pts and an ROI of 10.2%.
5 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 4 losing months. DNB had 8 winning months with only 1 losing month.
There is a definite trend where low priced aways appear to be less profitable than they were in the past. During backtesting and live results, they have only produced a profit of 6pts from 214 games for an ROI of 2.98%.
Changes from next season
Dropping all Away bets priced lower than 2.5
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 25pts. Suggested Bank 65pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 10pts. Suggested Bank is 25pts.
System 23
System 23
A loss of 3.5pts this season and an ROI of -4.7%. DNB produced a profit of 2.3pts and an ROI of 3.1%.
5 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 4 losing months. DNB had 5 winning months also.
Not enough data to be able to pick up on any changing trends.
Changes from next season
System will be dropped due to lack of volume of bets.
Suggested Banks
N/A
System 6-21
System 6-21
A profit of 27pts this season and an ROI of 9.1%. DNB produced a profit of 29.3pts and an ROI of 9.8%.
6 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 3 losing months. DNB had 8 winning months.
Changes from next season
Changes from system 6 will impact this system with less away bets priced below 2.5 and less premiership aways.
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 17pts. Suggested Bank 45pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 11pts. Suggested Bank is 30pts.
System 6-22
System 6-22
A profit of 25.3pts this season and an ROI of 13.7%. DNB produced a profit of 27.2pts and an ROI of 14.7%.
6 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 3 losing months. DNB had 8 winning months.
Changes from next season
Changes from system 6 and 22 will impact this system with less away bets priced below 2.5 and less premiership aways.
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 19pts. Suggested Bank 50pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 8pts. Suggested Bank is 20pts.
System 7-21
System 7-21
A profit of 36.5pts this season and an ROI of 19.4%. DNB produced a profit of 27.7pts and an ROI of 14.7%.
7 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 2 losing months. DNB had 7 winning months also.
Changes from next season
Changes from system 7 will impact this system with less away bets priced below 2.5.
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 15pts. Suggested Bank 40pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 11pts. Suggested Bank is 30pts.
System 7-22
System 7-22
A profit of 32.6pts this season and an ROI of 24.9%. DNB produced a profit of 27.6pts and an ROI of 21.0%.
7 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 2 losing months. DNB had 7 winning months also.
Changes from next season
Changes from system 7 and 22 will impact this system with less away bets priced below 2.5.
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 16pts. Suggested Bank 40pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 8pts. Suggested Bank is 20pts.
System 8-21
System 8-21
A profit of 20.4pts this season and an ROI of 15.9%. DNB produced a profit of 14.5pts and an ROI of 11.3%.
7 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 2 losing months. DNB had 7 winning months also.
Changes from next season
None
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 16pts. Suggested Bank 40pts
DNB Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 8pts. Suggested Bank is 20pts.
System 8-22
System 8-22
A profit of 24.7pts this season and an ROI of 26.2%. DNB produced a profit of 17.9pts and an ROI of 19.0%.
7 winning months for traditional H/A betting and 2 losing months. DNB had 7 winning months also.
Changes from next season
Changes from system 22 will impact this system with less away bets priced below 2.5.
Suggested Banks
Traditional H/A Betting – Largest Drop From Peak is 16pts. Suggested Bank 40pts