After a slightly annoying January, I’m going to adjust my stakes again on some of the systems.
The main issue in January was the underperformance of systems 21-23 and therefore, I’ll adjust these stakes downward for the moment. It does feel like I’m always reacting to trends here instead of trying to be proactive but I think this season is all about trying to learn and it’s important I keep myself in the game.
I’ll also be reducing stakes slightly on the multiple bets. These are very risky bets and therefore, they should only be played with very small stakes.
Below are the bets for this midweek. Fingers crossed the systems get back on track!
The Football Analyst Bets for 1st/2nd February
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
02/02/2011 19:45 Premiership Liverpool v Stoke Liverpool 1.67 VC
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.75 VC
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Middlesbrough v Scunthorpe Middlesbrough 1.62 Ladbrokes
02/02/2011 19:45 League 1 Bristol Rovers v MK Dons MK Dons 2.60 Ladbrokes
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Bradford v Lincoln Lincoln 3.50 WH
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Stevenage v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80 Tote
02/02/2011 19:45 SPL Motherwell v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3.10 B365
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.75 VC
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Middlesbrough v Scunthorpe Middlesbrough 1.62 Ladbrokes
02/02/2011 19:45 League 1 Bristol Rovers v MK Dons MK Dons 2.60 Ladbrokes
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80 Tote
02/02/2011 19:45 SPL Motherwell v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3.10 B365
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.75 VC
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80 Tote
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Stake Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80 Tote
System 16
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.73
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80
02/02/2011 19:45 Premiership Liverpool v Stoke Liverpool 1.60
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Wrexham v Altrincham Wrexham 1.40
Any 3 and all 4 = 5 Bets Tote
System 17
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Bristol City v Swansea Swansea 2.25
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.73
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Sheff Utd v Leicester Leicester 2.25
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Southport v Grimsby Grimsby 2.20
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Stevenage v Gillingham Gillingham 3.20
Any,2,3,4 and all 5 = 26 Bets Betfred
Bet 2
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.75
02/02/2011 19:45 Premiership Blackburn v Tottenham Tottenham 2.38
02/02/2011 19:45 SPL Motherwell v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3.10
Any 2 and all 3 = 4 Bets PP
System 18
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.73
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Bristol City v Swansea Swansea 2.20
Any 2 and all 3 = 4 Bets Tote
System 21
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.75 PP
02/02/2011 19:45 Premiership Blackburn v Tottenham Tottenham 2.40 Betfred
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Bristol City v Swansea Swansea 2.25 WH
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Doncaster v Burnley Burnley 2.50 Ladbrokes
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Hull v Leeds Leeds 2.90 Ladbrokes
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Sheff Utd v Leicester Leicester 2.25 Ladbrokes
02/02/2011 19:45 League 1 Bristol Rovers v MK Dons MK Dons 2.60 Ladbrokes
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Bradford v Lincoln Lincoln 3.50 WH
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Macclesfield v Bury Bury 2.50 Corals
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Port Vale v Rotherham Rotherham 2.90 B365
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Stevenage v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80 Tote
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Southport v Grimsby Grimsby 2.25 Corals
02/02/2011 19:45 SPL Motherwell v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3.10 B365
System 22
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Premiership West Brom v Wigan West Brom 1.75 PP
02/02/2011 19:45 Premiership Blackburn v Tottenham Tottenham 2.40 Betfred
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Bristol City v Swansea Swansea 2.25 WH
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Sheff Utd v Leicester Leicester 2.25 Ladbrokes
01/02/2011 19:45 League 2 Stevenage v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Rushden v Cambridge Rushden 1.80 Tote
01/02/2011 19:45 Bsq Prem Southport v Grimsby Grimsby 2.25 Corals
02/02/2011 19:45 SPL Motherwell v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3.10 B365
System 23
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
01/02/2011 19:45 Championship Bristol City v Swansea Swansea 2.25 WH
Monday, 31 January 2011
Saturday, 29 January 2011
Should have been better......
Another day, another loss but I feel slightly aggrieved to have suffered a loss today.
I was in the house today and was therefore able to watch the scores come in as they happened. At half time today, on one multiple bet, I had 3 winning and 2 teams drawing 0-0 at half time. In addition, the two teams drawing were Norwich and QPR and both appeared to have the better of the first half, so I was hopeful one or both may score and I could be looking at a big pay day again.
As the second half went on, there weren’t a lot of goals affecting my games but it soon became clear that Southend, Oldham and Kilmarnock were going to be the three big games this weekend. All 3 were at least a goal up and once Southend went 2-0 up along with Oldham, I was feeling pretty good about things.
Kilmarnock were then pegged back to 1-1 in the final 10 minutes and Oldham had already conceded to make it 2-1 in that game. At the time reached 4.45, it was a simple case of waiting for the Oldham result to come in. As luck would have it, I was watching Final Score on the BBC and then I heard the dreaded words “there’s a penalty kick deep in injury time at Brunton Park”. I already knew what was coming next…..
The BBC reporter said before the penalty was taken that it was a debatable foul and even if it was a foul, it was outside the box. I just shook my head and waited for Carlisle to score the penalty. 2-2 and that’s that.
I had a decent bet on them at 5/2 to win, so it was a fairly big swing. I also had Kilmarnock at 13/8 and these two alone were massive swings against me this weekend. That’s not taking into account the multiple bets etc.
As it turned out, due to Southend winning and Walsall winning, damage was kept to a minimum this weekend but it could have been much better I guess.
At one stage this afternoon, I could have been looking at a large win on a multiple bet, so it’s part of the game with these low strike rate bets.
There is a busy midweek card this week, so I’ll be back on Monday with any bets I place.
I was in the house today and was therefore able to watch the scores come in as they happened. At half time today, on one multiple bet, I had 3 winning and 2 teams drawing 0-0 at half time. In addition, the two teams drawing were Norwich and QPR and both appeared to have the better of the first half, so I was hopeful one or both may score and I could be looking at a big pay day again.
As the second half went on, there weren’t a lot of goals affecting my games but it soon became clear that Southend, Oldham and Kilmarnock were going to be the three big games this weekend. All 3 were at least a goal up and once Southend went 2-0 up along with Oldham, I was feeling pretty good about things.
Kilmarnock were then pegged back to 1-1 in the final 10 minutes and Oldham had already conceded to make it 2-1 in that game. At the time reached 4.45, it was a simple case of waiting for the Oldham result to come in. As luck would have it, I was watching Final Score on the BBC and then I heard the dreaded words “there’s a penalty kick deep in injury time at Brunton Park”. I already knew what was coming next…..
The BBC reporter said before the penalty was taken that it was a debatable foul and even if it was a foul, it was outside the box. I just shook my head and waited for Carlisle to score the penalty. 2-2 and that’s that.
I had a decent bet on them at 5/2 to win, so it was a fairly big swing. I also had Kilmarnock at 13/8 and these two alone were massive swings against me this weekend. That’s not taking into account the multiple bets etc.
As it turned out, due to Southend winning and Walsall winning, damage was kept to a minimum this weekend but it could have been much better I guess.
At one stage this afternoon, I could have been looking at a large win on a multiple bet, so it’s part of the game with these low strike rate bets.
There is a busy midweek card this week, so I’ll be back on Monday with any bets I place.
Thursday, 27 January 2011
Huge Weekend....
There are a decent number of bets this weekend and a few big multiple bets too.
Lots of key games this weekend with a nice mix of homes and aways.
Fingers crossed for a profitable end to the month.
The Football Analyst Bets for 28th/29th January
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
28/01/2011 19:45 Championship Millwall v Barnsley Millwall 1.83 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.50 VC
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.50 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Swindon v Exeter Swindon 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Cheltenham Oxford 2.00 PP
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00 Sportingbet
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Forest Green Fleetwood 1.61 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Rushden v Tamworth Rushden 1.83 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Cheltenham Oxford 2.00 PP
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00 Sportingbet
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00 Sportingbet
System 9
None
System 16
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Cheltenham Oxford 1.91
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Forest Green Fleetwood 1.62
Any 3 and all 4 - 5 Bets Corals
System 17
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.70
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.30
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.30
Any 2,3,4 and all 5 - 26 Bets WH
System 18
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 1.91
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.70
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.00
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62
Any 2,3 and all 4 - 11 Bets WH
System 21
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.50 VC
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.50 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Plymouth v Bournemouth Bournemouth 2.40 SJ
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Bristol Rovers Walsall 2.40 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Morecambe v Macclesfield Macclesfield 4.00 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Forest Green Fleetwood 1.61 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
System 22
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.50 VC
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.50 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Bristol Rovers Walsall 2.40 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
System 23
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
Lots of key games this weekend with a nice mix of homes and aways.
Fingers crossed for a profitable end to the month.
The Football Analyst Bets for 28th/29th January
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
28/01/2011 19:45 Championship Millwall v Barnsley Millwall 1.83 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.50 VC
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.50 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Swindon v Exeter Swindon 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Cheltenham Oxford 2.00 PP
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00 Sportingbet
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Forest Green Fleetwood 1.61 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Rushden v Tamworth Rushden 1.83 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Cheltenham Oxford 2.00 PP
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00 Sportingbet
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00 Sportingbet
System 9
None
System 16
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 2.00
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Cheltenham Oxford 1.91
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Forest Green Fleetwood 1.62
Any 3 and all 4 - 5 Bets Corals
System 17
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.70
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.30
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.30
Any 2,3,4 and all 5 - 26 Bets WH
System 18
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Altrincham Barrow 1.91
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.70
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.00
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62
Any 2,3 and all 4 - 11 Bets WH
System 21
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.50 VC
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.50 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Plymouth v Bournemouth Bournemouth 2.40 SJ
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Bristol Rovers Walsall 2.40 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Morecambe v Macclesfield Macclesfield 4.00 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Forest Green Fleetwood 1.61 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
System 22
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Norwich Norwich 2.50 WH
29/01/2011 15:00 Championship Hull v QPR QPR 2.50 VC
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Carlisle v Oldham Oldham 3.50 Corals
29/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Bristol Rovers Walsall 2.40 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
System 23
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookie
29/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Southend Southend 2.75 Tote
29/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v York York 2.10 Ladbrokes
29/01/2011 15:00 SPL Hamilton v Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2.62 WH
Ridiculous!
Hard to know what to make of things at the minute. The systems have gone from the sublime to the ridiculous where finding winners has become very difficult.
I backed 10 teams in midweek and only found 2 winners. 6 draws and 2 losers were the other games.
When you piece together the weekend and the midweek, it hasn't been pretty but I'm probably not the only one struggling using a ratings algorithm to project the outcome of football matches this month. From reading blogs and forums, I know that others betting on football are struggling this month also, so I just have to hold tight and wait until the tide turns.
I've got data going back 8 years to show that these systems are profitable, so fingers crossed they get back on track soon!
Below are the results from midweek.
I'll be back tomorrow with my bets for the weekend.
I backed 10 teams in midweek and only found 2 winners. 6 draws and 2 losers were the other games.
When you piece together the weekend and the midweek, it hasn't been pretty but I'm probably not the only one struggling using a ratings algorithm to project the outcome of football matches this month. From reading blogs and forums, I know that others betting on football are struggling this month also, so I just have to hold tight and wait until the tide turns.
I've got data going back 8 years to show that these systems are profitable, so fingers crossed they get back on track soon!
Below are the results from midweek.
I'll be back tomorrow with my bets for the weekend.
Tuesday, 25 January 2011
Midweek
Tonight sees the first bets from the next two TFA systems to go live.
It's been a lot of work to introduce systems 17&18 as doing this piece of analysis takes a fair bit of time and Excel work.
I'll try to post up some analysis at some point of these systems and the long-term ROI but they are very high risk, high return systems, very much like system 16. Of course, you'd expect multiple bet systems to be like this, so it's not too surprising!
Below are my bets for this midweek. I was up late last night placing these as I had computer issues all night but I got there in the end.
Let's hope for a better day than Saturday was!
The Football Analyst Bets for midweek 25th/26th January
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Swindon v Tranmere Swindon 1.83 SJ
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Eastbourne v Tamworth Tamworth 2.75 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
System 9
None
System 16
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Swindon v Tranmere Swindon 1.83
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Crawley v Cambridge Crawley 1.36
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75
1 Treble = 1 bet Corals
System 17
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.60
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.40
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.38
6 Doubles, 4 Trebles, 1 4 Fold = 11 Bets Blue Sq
System 18
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.75
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.25
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.38
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75
6 Doubles, 4 Trebles, 1 4 Fold = 11 Bets Corals
System 21
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Walsall v Oldham Oldham 2.50 WH
25/01/2010 19:45 League 2 Southend v Macclefield Southend 1.91 WH
25/01/2010 19:45 League 2 Stevanage v Rotherham Rotherham 3.40 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Eastbourne v Tamworth Tamworth 2.75 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
System 22
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
System 23
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
It's been a lot of work to introduce systems 17&18 as doing this piece of analysis takes a fair bit of time and Excel work.
I'll try to post up some analysis at some point of these systems and the long-term ROI but they are very high risk, high return systems, very much like system 16. Of course, you'd expect multiple bet systems to be like this, so it's not too surprising!
Below are my bets for this midweek. I was up late last night placing these as I had computer issues all night but I got there in the end.
Let's hope for a better day than Saturday was!
The Football Analyst Bets for midweek 25th/26th January
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Swindon v Tranmere Swindon 1.83 SJ
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Eastbourne v Tamworth Tamworth 2.75 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
System 9
None
System 16
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Swindon v Tranmere Swindon 1.83
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Crawley v Cambridge Crawley 1.36
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75
1 Treble = 1 bet Corals
System 17
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.60
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.40
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.38
6 Doubles, 4 Trebles, 1 4 Fold = 11 Bets Blue Sq
System 18
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.75
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.25
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.38
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75
6 Doubles, 4 Trebles, 1 4 Fold = 11 Bets Corals
System 21
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Walsall v Oldham Oldham 2.50 WH
25/01/2010 19:45 League 2 Southend v Macclefield Southend 1.91 WH
25/01/2010 19:45 League 2 Stevanage v Rotherham Rotherham 3.40 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Hayes Hayes 2.75 Tote
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Eastbourne v Tamworth Tamworth 2.75 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
System 22
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Darlington v Mansfield Mansfield 3.25 B365
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
System 23
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/01/2010 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Notts County Notts County 2.80 Betfred
25/01/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.38 Ladbrokes
26/01/2010 19:45 SPL St Mirren v Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2.40 Ladbrokes
Monday, 24 January 2011
Inevitable?
If there is one thing I've learnt this season, it has been to always be wary of a losing run being just around the corner.
I don't want to dwell on the losses as it's not the first time I've lost heavily this season and it won't be the last time!
There are some midweek games this week, so I'll be back with my bets for them tonight.
I've also developed system 17 now and it will be going live from this weekend if there are any bets. I've got three more systems to develop now (systems 18-20) and then I'll be set up for the remainder of this season and hopefully for the next few seasons after that if things go to plan!
I don't want to dwell on the losses as it's not the first time I've lost heavily this season and it won't be the last time!
There are some midweek games this week, so I'll be back with my bets for them tonight.
I've also developed system 17 now and it will be going live from this weekend if there are any bets. I've got three more systems to develop now (systems 18-20) and then I'll be set up for the remainder of this season and hopefully for the next few seasons after that if things go to plan!
Friday, 21 January 2011
Quiet Weekend
It feels strange but this is the least I've staked for a long time this season on a Saturday when there has been a full fixture list.
In a way, it's good in the sense that I'm really staking well within my comfort zone but then again, given the run the systems are on, I feel like I'm maybe just preserving profits at the moment!
This weekend all rests on two teams. Swindon and Rotherham. I'll probably make a profit this weekend if either wins but it will be a large loss if both lose. I'm hoping one of them may get a result at least.
The Football Analyst Bets for 22nd/23rd January
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 Premiership Everton v West Ham Everton 1.53 SJ
23/01/2011 16:00 Premiership Blackburn v West Brom West Brom 3.50 Boyles
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Bristol City Bristol City 3.75 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Reading v Hull Reading 1.73 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Accrington v Hereford Accrington 1.91 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Bath Bath 2.80 PP
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem York v Forest Green York 1.57 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 SPL Motherwell v Hibs Hibs 4.00 SJ
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
23/01/2011 16:00 Premiership Blackburn v West Brom West Brom 3.50 Boyles
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Reading v Hull Reading 1.73 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Accrington v Hereford Accrington 1.91 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
System 9
None
System 16
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 Premiership Everton v West Ham Everton 1.53
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem York v Forest Green York 1.57
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.50
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.25
Any 3 and all 4 = 5 Bets Corals
System 21
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 Premiership Everton v West Ham Everton 1.53 SJ
22/01/2011 12:45 Premiership Wolves v Liverpool Liverpool 2.38 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Barnsley v Swansea Swansea 2.10 PP
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Bristol City Bristol City 3.75 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Portsmouth v Leeds Leeds 2.75 SJ
22/01/2011 17:20 Championship Scunthorpe v Burnley Burnley 2.10 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Northampton v Oxford Oxford 3.00 VC
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Torquay v Gillingham Gillingham 3.10 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Bath Bath 2.80 PP
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Crawley Crawley 2.05 Tote
22/01/2011 15:00 SPL Motherwell v Hibs Hibs 4.00 SJ
System 22
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Northampton v Oxford Oxford 3.00 VC
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Crawley Crawley 2.05 Tote
System 23
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
In a way, it's good in the sense that I'm really staking well within my comfort zone but then again, given the run the systems are on, I feel like I'm maybe just preserving profits at the moment!
This weekend all rests on two teams. Swindon and Rotherham. I'll probably make a profit this weekend if either wins but it will be a large loss if both lose. I'm hoping one of them may get a result at least.
The Football Analyst Bets for 22nd/23rd January
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 Premiership Everton v West Ham Everton 1.53 SJ
23/01/2011 16:00 Premiership Blackburn v West Brom West Brom 3.50 Boyles
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Bristol City Bristol City 3.75 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Reading v Hull Reading 1.73 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Accrington v Hereford Accrington 1.91 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Bath Bath 2.80 PP
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem York v Forest Green York 1.57 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 SPL Motherwell v Hibs Hibs 4.00 SJ
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
23/01/2011 16:00 Premiership Blackburn v West Brom West Brom 3.50 Boyles
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Reading v Hull Reading 1.73 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Accrington v Hereford Accrington 1.91 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
System 9
None
System 16
Bet 1
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 Premiership Everton v West Ham Everton 1.53
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem York v Forest Green York 1.57
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.50
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.25
Any 3 and all 4 = 5 Bets Corals
System 21
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 Premiership Everton v West Ham Everton 1.53 SJ
22/01/2011 12:45 Premiership Wolves v Liverpool Liverpool 2.38 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Barnsley v Swansea Swansea 2.10 PP
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Bristol City Bristol City 3.75 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 Championship Portsmouth v Leeds Leeds 2.75 SJ
22/01/2011 17:20 Championship Scunthorpe v Burnley Burnley 2.10 SJ
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Northampton v Oxford Oxford 3.00 VC
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Torquay v Gillingham Gillingham 3.10 WH
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Altrincham v Bath Bath 2.80 PP
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Crawley Crawley 2.05 Tote
22/01/2011 15:00 SPL Motherwell v Hibs Hibs 4.00 SJ
System 22
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Northampton v Oxford Oxford 3.00 VC
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
22/01/2011 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Crawley Crawley 2.05 Tote
System 23
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
22/01/2011 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Swindon Swindon 2.60 Ladbrokes
22/01/2011 15:00 League 2 Wycombe v Rotherham Rotherham 3.49 Pinnacle
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