This post is split into the review of September and the bets for this weekend. No point in two separate posts as there isn't much to say in the review.
September Review
I'm not going to write too much for the first monthly review. To be honest, there isn't a lot to write about and you can't draw too many conclusions from only 122 bets this month.
In summary, the systems as a whole have made a profit of 6.01pts this month which is decent enough. I've managed slightly better than that as I stake more on systems 8/9 than I do on systems 6/7 but overall, a decent enough start.
System 6 broke even from 63 bets which isn't great for the first month but then again, it isn't the best system historically, so maybe not too surprising.
System 7 made a profit of 1.7pts from 31 bets which is an ROI of only 5.4% which is again below the long-term average.
System 8 made a profit of 5.75pts from only 18 bets (32% ROI) which is much more like it and much in line with past seasons.
System 9 made a loss of 1.4pts from only 6 bets which means it is hard to draw any conclusions at the moment. A disappointing month but not a disaster.
Overall, a pleasing start to the football bets this season.
Weekend Bets
A very busy weekend ahead with the most bets picked out by the system so far this season. Looking at them, I think there are some very strong bets but I'd also say that there are some weaker bets!
I'm hoping system 8 can continue it's current run of form as I made a nice profit last month on the system and I've increased my stakes slightly from the start of October.
Fingers crossed for a good day!
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 2nd October
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Birmingham v Everton Everton 2.75 BS
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Stoke v Blackburn Stoke 2.30 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Tottenham v Villa Tottenham 2.00 SJ
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership West Ham v Fulham Fulham 3.30 B365
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Wigan v Wolves Wigan 2.38 Corals
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Bristol City v Norwich Norwich 3.00 PP
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Ipswich v Leeds Leeds 3.75 Ladbrokes
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Leicester v Scunthorpe Leicester 1.83 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Portsmouth 4.00 BSquare
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Sheff Utd v Watford Watford 3.20 VC
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Brentford v Charlton Brentford 2.60 Corals
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Dagenham v Swindon Dagenham 2.85 Pinnacle
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Huddersfield v Bristol Rovers Huddersfield 1.62 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Colchester Colchester 3.40 Ladbrokes
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Oldham v Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 4.33 Ladbrokes
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Southampton v Bournemouth Southampton 1.73 SJ
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Yeovil Yeovil 3.30 Tote
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 2 Aldershot v Cheltenham Aldershot 1.91 Tote
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 2 Burton v Stockport Burton 1.83 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 2 Shrewsbury v Torquay Torquay 3.75 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 SPL Motherwell v St Mirren Motherwell 1.73 Ladbrokes
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Stoke v Blackburn Stoke 2.30 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Tottenham v Villa Tottenham 2.00 SJ
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Wigan v Wolves Wigan 2.38 Corals
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Bristol City v Norwich Norwich 3.00 PP
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Leicester v Scunthorpe Leicester 1.83 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Portsmouth 4.00 BSquare
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Sheff Utd v Watford Watford 3.20 VC
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Brentford v Charlton Brentford 2.60 Corals
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Huddersfield v Bristol Rovers Huddersfield 1.62 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Southampton v Bournemouth Southampton 1.73 SJ
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Yeovil Yeovil 3.30 Tote
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 2 Aldershot v Cheltenham Aldershot 1.91 Tote
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 2 Burton v Stockport Burton 1.83 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 SPL Motherwell v St Mirren Motherwell 1.73 Ladbrokes
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Tottenham v Villa Tottenham 2.00 Ladbrokes
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Bristol City v Norwich Norwich 3.00 PP
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Leicester v Scunthorpe Leicester 1.83 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 Championship Sheff Utd v Watford Watford 3.20 VC
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Huddersfield v Bristol Rovers Huddersfield 1.62 WH
02-Oct-10 15:00 League 1 Southampton v Bournemouth Southampton 1.73 SJ
02-Oct-10 15:00 SPL Motherwell v St Mirren Motherwell 1.73 Ladbrokes
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds
02-Oct-10 15:00 Premiership Tottenham v Villa Tottenham 2.00 Ladbrokes
Thursday, 30 September 2010
Wednesday, 29 September 2010
Great end to the month
The systems finally came good last night and a profit of 8.7pts was achieved to level stakes.
It was also my best betting day of the season so far, so all in all, a great night.
I'll be back with a monthly review tomorrow I think. It's always going to be easier to write a review after a good month I think!
It was also my best betting day of the season so far, so all in all, a great night.
I'll be back with a monthly review tomorrow I think. It's always going to be easier to write a review after a good month I think!
Tuesday, 28 September 2010
Tonight's bets
I should really apologise for not updating the blog with any thoughts as I keep having lots and lots of thoughts floating around my head about what I can do to make this blog an enjoyable read as well as help myself by improving staking and so on. However, my full-time work committments are taking up an amazing amount of my time and mental energy (if there's such a thing!) at the moment, so I can't really think about anything else in any depth or my head would explode.
Therefore, everything around staking etc. stays the same and I just roll on to another set of midweek fixtures with the same staking plan as Saturday.
I placed all these bets last night and due to sheer tiredness I think, I backed the wrong team in one of them but I've managed to lay them off on Betfair today, so if they win, it's a tiny loss on the bet. I did back the other team I meant to back last night though, so if the original team I backed wins, it will be an expensive change of bet!
Lots of bets today and last night, I did feel a bit robotic placing the bets as I didn't even know what I was doing really. The stakes are irrelevant now (I just place whatever the spreadsheet tells me to) but I was clearly going to Corals too often last night as they refused my full bet on Portsmouth. No hassle really as I backed them elsewhere and split the stake but looking at my bets I placed, I was placing too many with Corals when I should really be spreading them around a bit. Again, that's just tiredness as I wasn't thinking about what I was doing but I'll forgive myself that.
I noticed Portsmouth were actually only 2 on Betfair when I backing at 2 with Corals, so maybe that's why I got refused my full stake. Anyway, I'll see what happens with my next set of bets at the weekend.
I can open a Eurobet account if I want to and I can also use my fiance's name to open an account with Corals also, so I've got options if I need a new account. In addition, I was intending on opening 2 accounts a week going forward but I've sort of stagnated on 16 bookmaker accounts for a few weeks due to lack of time. I'll maybe look to open a few more this weekend to allow me to keep spreading bets around.
I've not really looked into any of the specialised footie sites yet (Dimes etc.), so I'll maybe start trying these guys in future but no rush at the moment. I'm a very small fish in a massive pond I feel at the moment and my ROI is so low with so many bets, I can't imagine bookmakers are seeing me as anything other than some footie nut who's backing lots of teams all the time and not getting very far! (I'll show them ;) )
Anyway, here's tonight's bets. A lot of weight has been placed on the win Portsmouth had last weekend, so we'll see if they can carry on with that sort of performance!
The Football Analyst Bets for midweek 28th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Burnley v Hull Burnley 1.91 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Cardiff v Crystal P Cardiff 1.57 WH
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship QPR v Millwall QPR 1.68 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Watford v Swansea Swansea 3.40 Blue Sq
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Bournemouth v Exeter Bournemouth 2.00 SJ
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Charlton v MK Dons MK Dons 3.54 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Rochdale v Huddersfield Huddersfield 2.60 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Cheltenham v Oxford Oxford 2.63 PP
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Lincoln v Burton Burton 2.50 Ladbrokes
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Morecambe v Bury Bury 2.90 Tote
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Stockport v Accrington Accrington 2.87 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Wycombe v Barnet Barnet 5.00 SJ
28th Sep 19:45 Bsq Prem Barrow v Fleetwood Fleetwood 2.40 Corals
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Burnley v Hull Burnley 1.91 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Cardiff v Crystal P Cardiff 1.57 WH
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship QPR v Millwall QPR 1.68 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Watford v Swansea Swansea 3.40 Blue Sq
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Lincoln v Burton Burton 2.50 Ladbrokes
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Morecambe v Bury Bury 2.90 Tote
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Stockport v Accrington Accrington 2.87 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Bsq Prem Barrow v Fleetwood Fleetwood 2.40 Corals
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Morecambe v Bury Bury 2.90 Tote
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Stockport v Accrington Accrington 2.87 Corals
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
Therefore, everything around staking etc. stays the same and I just roll on to another set of midweek fixtures with the same staking plan as Saturday.
I placed all these bets last night and due to sheer tiredness I think, I backed the wrong team in one of them but I've managed to lay them off on Betfair today, so if they win, it's a tiny loss on the bet. I did back the other team I meant to back last night though, so if the original team I backed wins, it will be an expensive change of bet!
Lots of bets today and last night, I did feel a bit robotic placing the bets as I didn't even know what I was doing really. The stakes are irrelevant now (I just place whatever the spreadsheet tells me to) but I was clearly going to Corals too often last night as they refused my full bet on Portsmouth. No hassle really as I backed them elsewhere and split the stake but looking at my bets I placed, I was placing too many with Corals when I should really be spreading them around a bit. Again, that's just tiredness as I wasn't thinking about what I was doing but I'll forgive myself that.
I noticed Portsmouth were actually only 2 on Betfair when I backing at 2 with Corals, so maybe that's why I got refused my full stake. Anyway, I'll see what happens with my next set of bets at the weekend.
I can open a Eurobet account if I want to and I can also use my fiance's name to open an account with Corals also, so I've got options if I need a new account. In addition, I was intending on opening 2 accounts a week going forward but I've sort of stagnated on 16 bookmaker accounts for a few weeks due to lack of time. I'll maybe look to open a few more this weekend to allow me to keep spreading bets around.
I've not really looked into any of the specialised footie sites yet (Dimes etc.), so I'll maybe start trying these guys in future but no rush at the moment. I'm a very small fish in a massive pond I feel at the moment and my ROI is so low with so many bets, I can't imagine bookmakers are seeing me as anything other than some footie nut who's backing lots of teams all the time and not getting very far! (I'll show them ;) )
Anyway, here's tonight's bets. A lot of weight has been placed on the win Portsmouth had last weekend, so we'll see if they can carry on with that sort of performance!
The Football Analyst Bets for midweek 28th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Burnley v Hull Burnley 1.91 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Cardiff v Crystal P Cardiff 1.57 WH
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship QPR v Millwall QPR 1.68 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Watford v Swansea Swansea 3.40 Blue Sq
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Bournemouth v Exeter Bournemouth 2.00 SJ
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Charlton v MK Dons MK Dons 3.54 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Rochdale v Huddersfield Huddersfield 2.60 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Cheltenham v Oxford Oxford 2.63 PP
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Lincoln v Burton Burton 2.50 Ladbrokes
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Morecambe v Bury Bury 2.90 Tote
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Stockport v Accrington Accrington 2.87 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Wycombe v Barnet Barnet 5.00 SJ
28th Sep 19:45 Bsq Prem Barrow v Fleetwood Fleetwood 2.40 Corals
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Burnley v Hull Burnley 1.91 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Cardiff v Crystal P Cardiff 1.57 WH
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Championship QPR v Millwall QPR 1.68 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Watford v Swansea Swansea 3.40 Blue Sq
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Lincoln v Burton Burton 2.50 Ladbrokes
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Morecambe v Bury Bury 2.90 Tote
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Stockport v Accrington Accrington 2.87 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 Bsq Prem Barrow v Fleetwood Fleetwood 2.40 Corals
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Hartlepool v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Pinnacle
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Morecambe v Bury Bury 2.90 Tote
28th Sep 19:45 League 2 Stockport v Accrington Accrington 2.87 Corals
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
28th Sep 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Bristol City Portsmouth 2.00 Corals
28th Sep 19:45 League 1 Leyton Orient v Walsall Leyton Orient 2.10 Corals
Sunday, 26 September 2010
Still on target I think!
Another interesting weekend for me and the important thing is I made a small profit again. It was another real rollercoaster again where at various points in time, I was feeling great and then I was really down and then at the end, I was just relieved it was over again! The system bets made a small loss to level stakes but under my current staking plan, I managed to make a small profit.
It started badly on Friday night with Leicester getting thumped by Portsmouth and I had a feeling it might be a bad weekend.......
Things turned out OK on Saturday afternoon though and in the end, I was pleased with how the day went.
My target is all about trying to achieve a small profit myself this season and after the first couple of weeks, I think I’m still on course to get there. The journey has actually been very smooth thus far and I’ve not really had a bad weekend yet, so it’s been a smooth journey so far.
I’ll leave it there for now. I should have some system bets for the midweek fixtures this week. Once the midweek fixtures pass, I’ll post up some more stats based on the first month of the season for my system bets as I’m still thinking that I can improve on things going forward with regards my own personal staking in particular.
It started badly on Friday night with Leicester getting thumped by Portsmouth and I had a feeling it might be a bad weekend.......
Things turned out OK on Saturday afternoon though and in the end, I was pleased with how the day went.
My target is all about trying to achieve a small profit myself this season and after the first couple of weeks, I think I’m still on course to get there. The journey has actually been very smooth thus far and I’ve not really had a bad weekend yet, so it’s been a smooth journey so far.
I’ll leave it there for now. I should have some system bets for the midweek fixtures this week. Once the midweek fixtures pass, I’ll post up some more stats based on the first month of the season for my system bets as I’m still thinking that I can improve on things going forward with regards my own personal staking in particular.
Friday, 24 September 2010
Bets this weekend
Another busy weekend this week but the average odds are higher than they were last week. Not sure I'm overly confident about this weekend again but I'll see what happens.
I'll be back over the weekend to update how things have gone hopefully.
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 24th/25th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
24-Sep-10 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Leicester Leicester 2.63 SJ
25-Sep-10 12:00 Championship Cardiff v Millwall Cardiff 1.80 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Bath Fleetwood 1.57 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Wrexham v Histon Wrexham 1.45 Bwin
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Burnley v Bristol City Burnley 1.73 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Notts Forest v Swansea Swansea 3.75 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship QPR v Doncaster QPR 1.73 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Bournemouth v Carlisle Carlisle 3.30 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Notts County Notts County 3.00 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Charlton v Dagenham Dagenham 6.50 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Colchester v Tranmere Colchester 1.80 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Sheff Wed v Southampton Southampton 3.10 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Swindon v Huddersfield Hudersfield 2.63 B365
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Hereford v Southend Southend 2.88 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Lincoln v Stevanage Stevanage 2.40 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Morecambe v Barnet Barnet 4.50 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Port Vale v Accrington Accrington 5.00 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Stockport v Aldershot Aldershot 2.70 Corals
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Burnley v Bristol City Burnley 1.73 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Bournemouth v Carlisle Carlisle 3.30 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Charlton v Dagenham Dagenham 6.50 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Colchester v Tranmere Colchester 1.80 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Sheff Wed v Southampton Southampton 3.20 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Swindon v Huddersfield Hudersfield 2.63 B365
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Hereford v Southend Southend 2.88 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Morecambe v Barnet Barnet 4.50 Ladbrokes
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Burnley v Bristol City Burnley 1.73 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Colchester v Tranmere Colchester 1.80 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Sheff Wed v Southampton Southampton 3.20 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Hereford v Southend Southend 2.88 Ladbrokes
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
I'll be back over the weekend to update how things have gone hopefully.
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 24th/25th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
24-Sep-10 19:45 Championship Portsmouth v Leicester Leicester 2.63 SJ
25-Sep-10 12:00 Championship Cardiff v Millwall Cardiff 1.80 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Bath Fleetwood 1.57 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Wrexham v Histon Wrexham 1.45 Bwin
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Burnley v Bristol City Burnley 1.73 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Notts Forest v Swansea Swansea 3.75 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship QPR v Doncaster QPR 1.73 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Bournemouth v Carlisle Carlisle 3.30 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Notts County Notts County 3.00 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Charlton v Dagenham Dagenham 6.50 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Colchester v Tranmere Colchester 1.80 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Sheff Wed v Southampton Southampton 3.10 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Swindon v Huddersfield Hudersfield 2.63 B365
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Hereford v Southend Southend 2.88 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Lincoln v Stevanage Stevanage 2.40 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Morecambe v Barnet Barnet 4.50 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Port Vale v Accrington Accrington 5.00 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Stockport v Aldershot Aldershot 2.70 Corals
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Burnley v Bristol City Burnley 1.73 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Bournemouth v Carlisle Carlisle 3.30 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Charlton v Dagenham Dagenham 6.50 Skybet
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Colchester v Tranmere Colchester 1.80 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Sheff Wed v Southampton Southampton 3.20 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Swindon v Huddersfield Hudersfield 2.63 B365
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Hereford v Southend Southend 2.88 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Morecambe v Barnet Barnet 4.50 Ladbrokes
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Burnley v Bristol City Burnley 1.73 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Colchester v Tranmere Colchester 1.80 Corals
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Sheff Wed v Southampton Southampton 3.20 Ladbrokes
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Hereford v Southend Southend 2.88 Ladbrokes
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Crewe v Oxford Oxford 2.75 SJ
Tuesday, 21 September 2010
50% strike rate
I managed to get 3 from 6 correct tonight although a small loss was made to level stakes.
I'll be back in a day or so with the weekend bets.
I'll be back in a day or so with the weekend bets.
Midweek bets
An exciting midweek card of BSq Premier games has thrown up a few bets on the systems again. Fingers crossed for a good night.
The Football Analyst Bets for midweek 21st September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
21-Sep-10 19:45 League 1 Dagenham v Exeter Dagenham 2.40 SJ
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Wrexham v Southport Wrexham 1.95 WH
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Kidderminster Fleetwood 1.83 WH
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Cambridge v Kettering Cambridge 1.73 WH
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
21-Sep-10 19:45 League 1 Dagenham v Exeter Dagenham 2.40 SJ
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Wrexham v Southport Wrexham 1.95 WH
System 8
None
System 9
None
The Football Analyst Bets for midweek 21st September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
21-Sep-10 19:45 League 1 Dagenham v Exeter Dagenham 2.40 SJ
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Wrexham v Southport Wrexham 1.95 WH
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Kidderminster Fleetwood 1.83 WH
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Cambridge v Kettering Cambridge 1.73 WH
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
21-Sep-10 19:45 League 1 Dagenham v Exeter Dagenham 2.40 SJ
21-Sep-10 19:45 Bsq Prem Wrexham v Southport Wrexham 1.95 WH
System 8
None
System 9
None
Monday, 20 September 2010
Steady again....
Well, I was slightly apprehensive about staking so many points this weekend but thankfully, my concerns didn't materialise.
The systems again had a steady day with an overall profit of 3.42pts which isn't bad again and keeps the momentum going. I had another profitable day myself even though I've changed my staking away from level staking each system at the moment.
There may be some midweek bets this midweek although I've not looked too far ahead with the fixture list.
The systems again had a steady day with an overall profit of 3.42pts which isn't bad again and keeps the momentum going. I had another profitable day myself even though I've changed my staking away from level staking each system at the moment.
There may be some midweek bets this midweek although I've not looked too far ahead with the fixture list.
Friday, 17 September 2010
Massive Weekend!
Well, I thought last week was a big week for me but compared to this week, it seems like I was playing with monopoly money then. When I first started out on this project, I knew the time would come when I may need to look out a pair of brown trousers and I think this weekend may be that time.
I see this as an investment vehicle instead of a gamble although I appreciate I could lose money and for that matter, a lot of money.
Some people would look at this weekend and think I could lose a fair amount of money this weekend but my risk is pretty well spread I hope.
I’ll leave it there tonight and update tomorrow night.
Wish me luck!
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 18th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Bristol City v Coventry Coventry 3.80 Corals
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Burnley Burnley 2.75 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Middlesborough v Reading Reading 3.30 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Preston v Norwich Norwich 2.84 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Swansea v Scunthorpe Swansea 1.73 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Notts County v L Orient L Orient 4.50 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Southampton v Colchester Southampton 1.80 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Rotherham Rotherham 2.42 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Bradford v Gillingham Gillingham 2.90 WH
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Chesterfield v Cheltenham Chesterfield 1.83 Corals
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Southend v Morecambe Southend 2.16 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Eastbourne v Altrincham Eastbourne 1.80 PP
18-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Kettering v Wrexham Wrexham 2.53 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v Rushden Rushden 2.50 Corals
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Bristol City v Coventry Coventry 3.80 Corals
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Preston v Norwich Norwich 2.84 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Notts County v L Orient L Orient 4.50 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Southampton v Colchester Southampton 1.80 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Bradford v Gillingham Gillingham 2.90 WH
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Southend v Morecambe Southend 2.16 Pinnacle
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Preston v Norwich Norwich 2.84 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Bradford v Gillingham Gillingham 2.90 WH
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Southend v Morecambe Southend 2.16 Pinnacle
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
I see this as an investment vehicle instead of a gamble although I appreciate I could lose money and for that matter, a lot of money.
Some people would look at this weekend and think I could lose a fair amount of money this weekend but my risk is pretty well spread I hope.
I’ll leave it there tonight and update tomorrow night.
Wish me luck!
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 18th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Bristol City v Coventry Coventry 3.80 Corals
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Crystal Palace v Burnley Burnley 2.75 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Middlesborough v Reading Reading 3.30 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Preston v Norwich Norwich 2.84 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Swansea v Scunthorpe Swansea 1.73 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Notts County v L Orient L Orient 4.50 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Southampton v Colchester Southampton 1.80 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Barnet v Rotherham Rotherham 2.42 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Bradford v Gillingham Gillingham 2.90 WH
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Chesterfield v Cheltenham Chesterfield 1.83 Corals
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Southend v Morecambe Southend 2.16 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Eastbourne v Altrincham Eastbourne 1.80 PP
18-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Kettering v Wrexham Wrexham 2.53 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v Rushden Rushden 2.50 Corals
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Bristol City v Coventry Coventry 3.80 Corals
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Preston v Norwich Norwich 2.84 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Notts County v L Orient L Orient 4.50 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Southampton v Colchester Southampton 1.80 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Bradford v Gillingham Gillingham 2.90 WH
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Southend v Morecambe Southend 2.16 Pinnacle
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 Championship Preston v Norwich Norwich 2.84 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Bradford v Gillingham Gillingham 2.90 WH
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 2 Southend v Morecambe Southend 2.16 Pinnacle
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Rochdale MK Dons 1.97 Pinnacle
18-Sep-10 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Swindon Swindon 2.63 Ladbrokes
Saturday, 11 September 2010
Much Better!
The system bets had an OK day thankfully and I made a little profit on these. These bets are really small stakes but I’m aiming for high turnover. I lost my confidence in the system bets last weekend a little after a really poor performance but this weekend was a bit better. I don’t expect too many really bad or really good days with the system bets but last weekend was quite bad as I said before.
I'll be back next time with any system bets.
I'll be back next time with any system bets.
Thursday, 9 September 2010
Weekend Bets
Below are the bets thrown up for this weekend.
I’m not exactly jumping for joy about the bets this weekend but I really believe in these systems long-term, so I’m happy that they will perform well in the long-run. I wouldn't have picked out most of these myself!
Bit tired tonight as it’s been a long day at work and I need to place my bets tonight.
Fingers crossed for a good weekend.
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 11th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Wimbledon v Bath Wimbledon 1.50 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Luton v Cambridge Luton 1.73 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Eastbourne Eastbourne 3.50 WH
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v Mansfield Mansfield 2.50 SJ
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies Stake
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Wimbledon v Bath Wimbledon 1.50 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Luton v Cambridge Luton 1.73 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Eastbourne Eastbourne 3.50 WH
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies Stake
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Luton v Cambridge Luton 1.73 SJ
System 9
None
I’m not exactly jumping for joy about the bets this weekend but I really believe in these systems long-term, so I’m happy that they will perform well in the long-run. I wouldn't have picked out most of these myself!
Bit tired tonight as it’s been a long day at work and I need to place my bets tonight.
Fingers crossed for a good weekend.
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 11th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Wimbledon v Bath Wimbledon 1.50 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Luton v Cambridge Luton 1.73 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Eastbourne Eastbourne 3.50 WH
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Southport v Mansfield Mansfield 2.50 SJ
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies Stake
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Wimbledon v Bath Wimbledon 1.50 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Luton v Cambridge Luton 1.73 SJ
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Barrow v Eastbourne Eastbourne 3.50 WH
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies Stake
11-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Luton v Cambridge Luton 1.73 SJ
System 9
None
Monday, 6 September 2010
Nightmare start for the systems
When you've worked on something for so long, you really can't wait for the day to come when the systems go live and you sit back and watch the money roll in on a week by week basis.
I don't care to share the number of hours of work that has gone into producing the my own ratings and formulating systems over the summer but let's just say I've spent a long time on this project this year in my spare time!
I was looking forward to Saturday immensely as the day had finally arrived when I had my first system bets this season and I was like a kid on Christmas Day on Saturday. Although I'd staked more the previous weekend, I didn't have the same confidence I had on Saturday in the bets as after all, these bets were generated from systems that had produced over 900 points profit in nearly 5,000 games, surely they would start well this season?
Well, I spent the half an hour after the games finished looking back to check what the record was on the first day of each of the past 4 seasons! It was a shocking start. :(
One of the great things for me this season is that I have an abundance of data to work with on the backfitted systems. I can look back at anything really to check how things performed in the past and therefore, when I get little blips like Saturday, I'll hopefully be able to keep my mindset correct by checking what happened in the past.
Interestingly, on the first day of the season that the system produces bet, the system bets (all systems combined) have NEVER created a profit.
It's easy with hindsight to look at this sort of thing and think I should have noticed it before but I didn't really care about what happens to the systems on a day to day basis. Even after Saturday, I'm not really worried about what happens on a day to day basis as there is a long way to go this season! Another 1,000+ games and bets to go I think.
Just for the record, the second weekend of bets have produced a profit every season and the profit is double the loss in the first week overall, so I'm looking forward to Saturday!
Overall then, a loss for my betting this weekend and a lot of red cells on my results table this weekend.
I don't care to share the number of hours of work that has gone into producing the my own ratings and formulating systems over the summer but let's just say I've spent a long time on this project this year in my spare time!
I was looking forward to Saturday immensely as the day had finally arrived when I had my first system bets this season and I was like a kid on Christmas Day on Saturday. Although I'd staked more the previous weekend, I didn't have the same confidence I had on Saturday in the bets as after all, these bets were generated from systems that had produced over 900 points profit in nearly 5,000 games, surely they would start well this season?
Well, I spent the half an hour after the games finished looking back to check what the record was on the first day of each of the past 4 seasons! It was a shocking start. :(
One of the great things for me this season is that I have an abundance of data to work with on the backfitted systems. I can look back at anything really to check how things performed in the past and therefore, when I get little blips like Saturday, I'll hopefully be able to keep my mindset correct by checking what happened in the past.
Interestingly, on the first day of the season that the system produces bet, the system bets (all systems combined) have NEVER created a profit.
It's easy with hindsight to look at this sort of thing and think I should have noticed it before but I didn't really care about what happens to the systems on a day to day basis. Even after Saturday, I'm not really worried about what happens on a day to day basis as there is a long way to go this season! Another 1,000+ games and bets to go I think.
Just for the record, the second weekend of bets have produced a profit every season and the profit is double the loss in the first week overall, so I'm looking forward to Saturday!
Overall then, a loss for my betting this weekend and a lot of red cells on my results table this weekend.
Friday, 3 September 2010
First system bets this weekend....
This week is the first week I was able to rate the lower leagues using my own ratings. There aren't too many bets thrown up, so we will ease into the season I think.
A few people have asked about why the systems are called 6,7,8,9 and not 1,2,3,4. Quite simply, there are other systems on the go and I'm always looking at data for other systems. These systems 6-9 are the ones that performed the best last season and therefore, I have kept the names the same for those following in the TFA forum. Next season, I will probably change the system names but at the moment, I'm sticking with these names.
The two main games for me are the Mansfield and Hayes & Yeading games. I have staked a small sum on each team this weekend, so fingers crossed both can do the business.
Good luck for the weekend and I'll be back on Sunday/Monday with an update of how things have went.
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 4th/5th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Hayes and Yeading v Histon Hayes and Yeading 1.80 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Luton Luton 2.50 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Kettering v Wimbledon Wimbledon 2.25 SJ
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Hayes and Yeading v Histon Hayes and Yeading 1.80 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Luton Luton 2.50 SJ
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
A few people have asked about why the systems are called 6,7,8,9 and not 1,2,3,4. Quite simply, there are other systems on the go and I'm always looking at data for other systems. These systems 6-9 are the ones that performed the best last season and therefore, I have kept the names the same for those following in the TFA forum. Next season, I will probably change the system names but at the moment, I'm sticking with these names.
The two main games for me are the Mansfield and Hayes & Yeading games. I have staked a small sum on each team this weekend, so fingers crossed both can do the business.
Good luck for the weekend and I'll be back on Sunday/Monday with an update of how things have went.
The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 4th/5th September
System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Hayes and Yeading v Histon Hayes and Yeading 1.80 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Luton Luton 2.50 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Kettering v Wimbledon Wimbledon 2.25 SJ
System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Hayes and Yeading v Histon Hayes and Yeading 1.80 SJ
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Luton Luton 2.50 SJ
System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
04-Sep-10 15:00 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Tamworth Mansfield 1.73 SJ
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)