A decent start to a new month with a solid performance
from the UK ratings this weekend. The Euro ratings had another tough weekend
and they are in a bit of a slump at the moment. I’m sort of counting down the
weeks to the season end now and with the profits achieved last month, I feel
quite content after a weekend like this weekend. I’d happily take a few more
weekends like this but I suspect we’ll hit a losing run soon with the UK bets.
Feels like one is overdue!
The Euro bets again look disappointing but I watched a
few games closely this weekend and it was very frustrating. Some of the big priced away bets (Nice, Lazio
and Genoa) all had a man sent off when still in the game or before the first
goal was scored! L’orient lost a late goal to draw, Catania were the big home
bet and they lost a 2-0 lead to lose 3-2, Betis lost a 2-0 lead to draw 3-3 and
the teams that did manage to win didn’t appear on enough systems.
I keep looking at the Euro results and keep thinking the
bets are doing slightly better than the P&L but at the end of the day, I
don’t think there is any edge here. I think break-even is probably about the
best they should be doing and therefore, a small loss isn’t a disaster but it
wasn’t what I hoped for this season.
Definitely going to be rebuilding the Euro ratings again
this Summer and I’ll have a second shot at cracking these leagues. Another
trial season wasn’t exactly what I was looking for but the ratings aren’t doing
what they were doing during backtesting. Nothing like it to be honest!
Anyway, here’s the weekend results in detail.
Est Systems
A profit of 17.04pts from 82 games. The base ratings did well and system 6,21 and
6-21 created the full profit this weekend.
The filtering didn’t really help much at all.
New Systems
A really good weekend for these systems I think. Again,
the base ratings did well and system 31 and 41 made a good solid profit. 34.86pts profit from 116 bets.
Misc Systems
The stars of the show this weekend. A profit of 29.55pts
from 58 bets. Great performance and the P&Ls continue to rise at a rate of
knots on these systems. Know it can’t go on forever like this but when it is
like, they make the game look so easy!
Under-Over
Systems
A solid start to these systems this month. 12 bets and a
profit of 4.58pts. 8 winners from 12 bets.
Let’s see if they can somehow build on this but I doubt it!
Euro Systems
A loss of 28.9pts from 107 games. Only a loss of 6.9pts
if using AH0.5 and the draw played a part but not too much.
Overall, a profit of 57.13pts from 375 games this
weekend. Nice start to the month and let’s see if the UK systems can build on
it in midweek……
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