Going to be one of the shortest reviews of a
month ever on the blog. In short, I can’t really be arsed writing about another
poor month for the systems.
The same themes have been apparent for a while
now and therefore, I’m not going to keep repeating them over and over again. At
the moment, the only reason I’m still betting on football is the UK Draw
systems look like they have a decent edge and the Max 4 system is doing well. I
also started following a new method earlier this season to small stakes (basically,
ignore every bet that system 41 has and back the rest) and it has been doing
well. The stakes are tiny though and can’t undo the losses on some of the other UK systems I’m following. I really should have gone one step further and basically
backed the opposite of every bet system 41 has but I didn’t want to tempt fate.
So far, if I’d been following this system, it would have been the best system
ever I suspect!
Although I’m no longer proofing the filtered UK
systems (7,8,32,33,42) and the combined systems which these systems are part
of, I still track the results and show the bets in a single tab each week in
the bet sheet. I needed to do this to enable myself and others to continue
following the Max 4 system using the same criteria as previous seasons. I have
pulled together the results of these other systems into a single sheet just for
my own curiosity and will share the results when I share the monthly spreadsheet but as expected, they are shockingly bad. It is even worse
than last season which takes some doing!
As well as using system 41 as a filter, you can
probably use systems like 7, 8 or 32 as these have been loss making now for a
long time – hence, the reason I stopped proofing these systems this season. I
was thinking about dropping system 41 this season and then I figured it was
actually beneficial to have a system that was probably going to lose money as
it could maybe be used in some way to identify my weaker bets….I just didn’t
expect 75% of my bets to fall into this category!
Anyway, that’s a little moan about how bad the
season has been so far. Keeping my head above water at the moment but it’s
simply papering over the cracks and in reality, any edge I had at this game
has probably evaporated completely now. A few systems and a few methods are
profitable but given how much work goes into finding the other 95% of the bets,
not sure it is economically viable to continue maintaining multiple rating
algorithms which aren’t very good any longer.
Here’s the results for October.
Est
Systems
Algorithm 2 somehow nearly broke even but the
first algorithm had a nightmare as did the combined systems. Even though
algorithm 2 did well, system 22 took these bets and had an absolute nightmare.
You couldn’t try to do as bad as this system did. Took a 1/3 of the bets and
found a 1/6 of the winners!
Overall, a mess of a month with a loss of
68.6pts.
New
Systems
Not the worst month in the world for system 31
but another shocker for system 41 & system 31-41.
Misc
Systems
Poor month for all 5 systems.
Draw
Systems
These systems are my only saving grace at the
moment. Let’s hope they can continue bailing me out for the rest of the season!
Euro
Systems
Shocker of a start for these systems this
season. Hopefully they’ll pick up next month.
Euro
Draw Systems
A solid start for these systems this season.
Not sure it will continue but would just about sums up the month that these
systems managed to make a profit and they are useless!
Overall, a poor month and it’s becoming a
common theme. The good old TFA days from a few seasons back when profits were
made every month is becoming a distant memory…..
Let’s see what next month brings.
