Tuesday, 13 March 2012

Tonight's Bets

Below are the bets for tonight. A lot of big bets and it's going to be another massive night for the systems. 4 games dominate and I can really do with at least 2 of these winning for me.

Wish me luck!

The Football Analyst Bets for 13th March

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v York York 2.88 2.09
13/03/2012 Championship Cardiff v Hull Hull 4.07 2.91
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 8
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Cambridge v Barrow Cambridge 2.05 1.50
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v York York 2.88 2.09
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.88 2.04
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v York York 2.88 2.09
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 7-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 8-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 8-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Ebbsfleet v Wrexham Ebbsfleet 5.05 3.72
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v York York 2.88 2.09
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 Championship Cardiff v Hull Hull 4.07 2.91
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 33
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 6-32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v York York 2.88 2.09
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System 6-21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v York York 2.88 2.09
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06

System TOX
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67

System STOY
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67

System STOZ
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
13/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v York York 2.88 2.09
13/03/2012 Championship Derby v Notts Forest Notts Forest 2.90 2.02
13/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Oldham Oldham 5.42 3.94
13/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Preston Tranmere 2.00 1.43
13/03/2012 League 2 Dagenham v Northampton Northampton 2.88 2.08
13/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Torquay Rotherham 2.38 1.67
13/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Bradford Bradford 2.90 2.06
13/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.88 2.04

Monday, 12 March 2012

Results Update

I get a feeling this could be a long post today as there is a little bit of explanation needed for the results tables and in addition, I want to have a little moan about the weekend and the fact we didn’t get many breaks go our way. However, before I get started, I want to mention another blog that has been added to my blog list on the sidebar.

Rowan has decided to return home to The Portfolio Investor blog and retire from his ‘A Punter's Year’ blog. I always enjoy reading Rowan’s blog(s) as the guy clearly has a sense of humour that comes through in his writing and isn’t afraid to wear his heart on his sleeve. He also isn’t afraid to give an honest opinion on services and therefore, I think blogs like Rowan’s help other punters know which services to follow and more importantly, which services should probably be avoided. I’ve added a link to his new blog at the side but I’ll keep the ‘A Punter's Year’ blog on my sidebar for a wee while in case people want to read back.

Before I get started on the weekend results, a quick explanation concerning the results tables that will appear on the blog from now until season end. As discussed on the blog a wee while ago, there is a lot of work going on in the background to improve the offering of The Football Analyst service. I call it a service but at the moment, it’s an email subscription list and a blog where the bets get posted free of charge, so not much of a service but then again, you get what you pay for in this game! :)

Firstly, the odds quoted in the results table now appear as 5.00 for a team that was 4/1 to win. This matches the way the bets are posted but for some reason (don’t ask me why!), I’ve always had my results database set up so that the odds recorded would be 4.00 for 4/1. It doesn’t change the P&L obviously as I just take 1 off the odds quoted to work out the profit on the bet now but something worth knowing in case you look back to previous posts and notice a difference!

One of the main pieces of work I’ve done is add some AH Line results to all my results data. I initially thought about going back and trying to backtest this live using odds portal etc. and choosing the most competitive AH line for each game but that would be far too much work! So, as a compromise, what I’ve done is use my current data to calculate the odds for 3 AH lines. As you know, I already monitor and track Draw No Bet (DNB) which is really just another name for AH0, so all I’ve done here is change all references in my sheet from DNB to AH0. Easy!

I’ve also added AH +0.25 and AH +0.50 to all my results data and tables also. For those not familiar with these AH lines, AH +0.25 means that you win half of your expected profit from backing outright if the game is a draw. AH + 0.5 means that you win if the game is a draw or if your team. AH +0.5 is also known as Double Chance and it is effectively a dutch bet on the draw and your selection to win.

Basically, it’s fairly easy (OK, it took me about 3 hours to suss out the AH +0.25 formula!) in Excel to calculate the odds for all these AH Lines as long you have the odds on your selection to win and the draw odds. Therefore, I now have the results for backing outright and AH0, AH +0.25 and AH +0.50 in my results database.

Every time I post the results up for the systems now, it is going to include the results for these additional AH lines. For the moment, these should be ignored!!!!!

OK, so I go to the trouble of adding all this data to my results and then I tell you to ignore it. Why?

Well, firstly, I don’t give the odds of AH +0.25 and AH +0.50 when I release the bets, so it seems a bit unfair to discuss the results. The weekend was a really good weekend for AH +0.25 and AH +0.50 but it would feel like I’m taking the pis* a little discussing the results on the blog considering I don’t even give this as an option to follow the bets!

More importantly though, AH betting will never improve the edge my systems have and the reason I’m introducing this option it isn’t linked to increasing the edge. I discussed it a little in this post here http://the-football-analyst.blogspot.com/2012/02/roi-for-show-roc-for-dough.html about comparing the returns of DNB (AH0) and backing outright but this can be extended further into other AH Lines.

However, AH betting has the ability to DESTROY the edge that my systems have and therefore, now isn’t the time to start pondering about how we use AH Lines. Quite simply, there are 2 months of the season left and I need to get us there in one piece. Therefore, all my time needs to be dedicated to keeping my ratings updated and finding the system bets and therefore, now isn’t the time to be discussing AH betting in detail.

Therefore, it is imperative that no one starts considering AH betting until I’ve done the necessary analysis on the systems to try to figure out where and when it may be best to use AH. Now that I have AH results in my results database, I can see quickly that using AH betting on all games will NEVER be a profitable method for my systems and therefore, it’s important that I do a fair amount of analysis and then spend a while educating people about how and when they may use AH betting in future. This will be done in the Summer, probably via this blog.

Anyway, I hope that makes sense and don’t get too drawn into looking at the AH returns on the results I post up. They don’t mean too much at the moment.

Onto the weekend then……

The base results weren’t a disaster and ultimately, a small loss was made, so not the worst weekend of the season (by a long, long way!). I try my best on the blog to not get too distracted by late goals, teams losing 2 goal leads, sending offs, missed penalties, goals not awarded etc. as at the end of the day, over the course of a season, most of my systems have enough bets to ensure that things should level out over the course of the season hopefully. Saturday was definitely one of THEM days though, if you know what I mean.

Chesterfield lost a 2 goal lead at odds of 5.5. Bristol Rovers lost a 2 goal lead at odds of 4.33, with the 2nd goal coming in injury time. Cheltenham missed a penalty to go into a lead against Swindon, lost 1-0. QPR scored a legitimate goal whilst on top against Bolton and went onto lost 2-1 (even though they scored a later goal that was offside!). As Mark Hughes suggested though, if QPR had been given their goal whilst on top in the game, would have been a totally different game from then on. We also had Rochdale at 7.00 and Accrington at 5.00 draw 2-2 against teams at the top of the leagues.

4 of the above mentioned games finished 2-2 and the other one was a defeat for QPR. I’m not saying that we deserved to win all these games but when you look at the odds of the teams we’ve backed in these games, it only takes one goal to go our way and it made it a totally different weekend for the systems.

No point crying over spilt milk though and in the long-run, if we keep finding these sort of bets, I’ve no doubt that we’ll win more than we’ll lose.

Algorithm 1 had 20 bets. 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losers. A loss of 1.5pts for H/A betting and a profit of 0.2pts for DNB betting.

Algorithm 2 had 16 bets, 4 wins, 5 draws and 7 losers. A loss of 1.6pts for H/A betting and a loss of 0.7pts for DNB betting.

Algorithm 3 had 16 bets, 5 wins, 6 draws and 5 losers. A profit of 1.5pts for H/A betting and a profit of 2.5pts for DNB betting.

With the base ratings struggling, it’s a pleasant surprise that the systems results aren’t worse this weekend!

The established systems made a loss of 7.2pts for H/A betting and a profit of 0.4pts for DNB betting. The new systems made a loss of 0.1pts for H/A betting and a profit of 7.4pts for DNB.

Overall, a better weekend for DNB rather than backing outright which is always a sign that you’ve hit too many draws in the weekend. The fact the draws were mainly big priced away teams makes it all the more frustrating really.

I’ll be back tomorrow at 9am with the midweek bets. March is going to be a very long month as there are 5 Saturdays and all of the midweeks have games too, so a pivotal month in the season I suspect for my systems.



Friday, 9 March 2012

A Quiet Weekend.....

It says it all that when there are 143 system bets and it feels like a quiet weekend. :)

The exposure is pretty well spread among a number of games this weekend but the lack of higher quality bets does always lead me to think it will be a more difficult weekend. The average odds are 4.33 across 143 bets, so anything can happen I suspect.

Good luck if following.


The Football Analyst Bets for 10th-11th March

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 Championship Brighton v Portsmouth Portsmouth 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 Championship Burnley v Crystal Palace Burnley 2.05 1.45
10/03/2012 Championship Derby v Watford Watford 3.20 2.28
11/03/2012 Championship Middlesbrough v Leeds Leeds 4.07 2.94
10/03/2012 Championship Reading v Leicester Leicester 3.60 2.55
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Chesterfield Chesterfield 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 League 1 Walsall v Hartlepool Hartlepool 3.47 2.45
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Plymouth Plymouth 4.61 3.35
10/03/2012 League 2 Southend v Accrington Accrington 5.00 3.63
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 Premiership Bolton v QPR QPR 3.10 2.19
11/03/2012 Premiership Man Utd v West Brom West Brom 12.00 10.00

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94

System 8
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Forest Green Forest Green 3.96 2.86
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 Championship Burnley v Crystal Palace Burnley 2.05 1.45
10/03/2012 Championship Derby v Watford Watford 3.20 2.28
10/03/2012 Championship Reading v Leicester Leicester 3.60 2.55
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Chesterfield Chesterfield 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 Premiership Bolton v QPR QPR 3.10 2.19
11/03/2012 Premiership Man Utd v West Brom West Brom 12.00 10.00

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Championship Derby v Watford Watford 3.20 2.28
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 Premiership Bolton v QPR QPR 3.10 2.19

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 Championship Burnley v Crystal Palace Burnley 2.05 1.45
10/03/2012 Championship Derby v Watford Watford 3.20 2.28
10/03/2012 Championship Reading v Leicester Leicester 3.60 2.55
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Chesterfield Chesterfield 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 Premiership Bolton v QPR QPR 3.10 2.19
11/03/2012 Premiership Man Utd v West Brom West Brom 12.00 10.00

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Championship Derby v Watford Watford 3.20 2.28
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 Premiership Bolton v QPR QPR 3.10 2.19

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94

System 7-22
None

System 8-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94

System 8-22
None

System 31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 Championship Brighton v Portsmouth Portsmouth 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 Championship Coventry v Birmingham Coventry 3.92 2.76
11/03/2012 Championship Middlesbrough v Leeds Leeds 4.07 2.94
10/03/2012 Championship Reading v Leicester Leicester 3.60 2.55
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Chesterfield Chesterfield 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Leyton Orient Tranmere 2.20 1.55
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Southend v Accrington Accrington 5.00 3.63
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44

System 32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Championship Coventry v Birmingham Coventry 3.75 2.65
11/03/2012 Championship Middlesbrough v Leeds Leeds 4.07 2.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08

System 33
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Championship Coventry v Birmingham Coventry 3.75 2.65
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08

System 6-32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
11/03/2012 Championship Middlesbrough v Leeds Leeds 4.07 2.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08

System 21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 Championship Reading v Leicester Leicester 3.60 2.55
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Chesterfield Chesterfield 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44

System 6-21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 Championship Reading v Leicester Leicester 3.60 2.55
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 1 Stevenage v Chesterfield Chesterfield 5.50 4.09
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44

System TOX
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 Premiership Bolton v QPR QPR 3.10 2.19
11/03/2012 Premiership Man Utd v West Brom West Brom 12.00 10.00

System STOY
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44
10/03/2012 Premiership Bolton v QPR QPR 3.10 2.19
11/03/2012 Premiership Man Utd v West Brom West Brom 12.00 10.00

System STOZ
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
10/03/2012 Bsq Prem Lincoln v Alfreton Alfreton 3.60 2.54
10/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Rochdale Rochdale 7.00 5.36
10/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Yeovil Yeovil 3.64 2.61
10/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.75 1.94
10/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Wed v Bournemouth Bournemouth 4.75 3.43
10/03/2012 League 2 Morecambe v Hereford Hereford 4.00 2.86
10/03/2012 League 2 Swindon v Cheltenham Cheltenham 5.00 3.64
10/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4.33 3.08
10/03/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Dagenham Dagenham 3.40 2.44

Thursday, 8 March 2012

Quick update on the future

A quick post concerning the remainder of this season and for those looking to follow the bets as I’ve had a few enquiries via the blog comments and PMs/emails from people who are interested in receiving the bets via email distribution.

Simply, unless you are on the current email subscription list, the only way to follow the bets until the end of this season is to do so via the blog. I don’t want to take on new subscribers at the moment as we’re entering the final stages of this season and quite simply, anyone joining now can achieve results in the short-term that may not be a true indication of the underlying performance of the systems. This may be good or bad but either way, I don’t want the systems judged by anyone over a 2 month spell.

The bets will appear on the blog at 6pm on a Friday and 9am on a Tuesday for the remainder of this season. These are UK times. People can follow the bets that way and although the odds may have moved from the odds quoted, if using a range of bookmakers and Betfair, you’ll get very close to the odds I suspect in the majority of games.

There are no concrete plans for next season yet but all I can share (which has already been shared with current subscribers and SBC forum members) is that the service will be developed over the summer for the benefit of those following the systems. This will include new systems for the top European Leagues using the same ratings methodology I use in the 6 UK leagues at the moment. In addition, I will also be adding Asian Handicap options to following the bets and although this can’t be used on every system or every bet, I believe that if used properly, it can help reduce some of the volatility that we see on the systems without eroding too much of the edge that the systems have. I also hope to share the historical results in Excel for all systems that will allow people to build their optimal portfolio of systems for next season.

I’m not quite sure what will happen on the blog next season but it is still my intention to run with a blog even though I’ll move over to a website to put the football systems on a more professional footing going forward. The blog will either be used to trial some of the new systems or will be used to discuss the results of the systems.

What I can say is that not all bets will be posted on the blog pre-game now as I’ve been doing this for over a season and a half and hopefully this has allowed as many people as possible to make a profit from following the systems without any costs (apart from my time!). I think a 2 season trial of the systems is a good enough indicator whether the systems have an edge or not and therefore, if people would like to continue to follow the systems, they can join the email distribution list if they wish next season.

I now have over 6,500 proofed bets producing an ROI of 8%+ and for the portfolio of systems I recommended people follow (which is also recommended by the SBC), this is an ROI of 16%+ over 1,700 bets. In addition, I also have some of the best performing footie systems which are producing ROIs in excess of 20% over the last season and a half and these systems are unrivalled in the market at the moment. Therefore, there are multiple ways of following the bets but more importantly, there are a lot of ways to make money and hopefully people appreciate this aspect of the systems.

Next season’s aim has to be to establish the footie systems as the best in the market and hopefully grow the email subscription base to make this project worthwhile continuing with into the future. The work that goes into maintaining the ratings, finding the system bets and monitoring the results is nearly a full-time job and therefore, it is only sustainable long-term if I can cover my time for doing the work.

I hope this provides a quick update for those who have asked various questions in the past week. When I have more to share regarding next season’s plans, I’ll mention it on here.

Back tomorrow night with the weekend bets.

Wednesday, 7 March 2012

Not a bad return.........

There have been a lot of results since the last update but I’ll cover off the weekend and midweek results at once. There have been 279 system bets in total, so a lot to get through.

In summary, it was a disappointing weekend really with a very low strike rate for the base algorithms again. However, things clicked last night with a much higher strike rate and some nice priced winners too, so it has helped get things back on track after a difficult spell.

Algorithm one has had 35 bets. 10 winners, 9 draws and 16 losers doesn’t exactly look like a decent return will have been achieved but it includes some nice priced winners. Overall, a profit of 8.00pts for H/A betting and a profit of 6.20pts for DNB.

Algorithm two had 25 bets in the same period. 9 winners, 6 draws and 10 losers. A much better performance from this algorithm and it overtakes algorithm one as the best performing algorithm this season. A profit of 14.48pts for H/A betting and a profit of 10.94pts for DNB betting.

Algorithm three has had 31 bets in the period. 9 winners, 11 draws and 11 losers. An unbelievable number of draws really but thankfully, plenty of winners too. A profit of 13.24pts for H/A betting and a profit of 13.04pts for DNB betting. You can see the draw helped the DNB returns here.

Basically, due to the fact the base ratings have had a decent period, then this should be reflected in the systems making profits and thankfully, this is the case.

The established systems made a profit of 42.95pts for H/A betting and 22.16pts for DNB betting. This was from 134 bets, so a decent ROI was also achieved in the period.

The new systems made a profit of 54.59pts for H/A betting and 45.60pts for DNB betting. This was from 145 bets, so again, a very healthy ROI has been achieved.

Overall, a profit of 97.54pts for H/A betting and 67.76pts for DNB betting from 279 games. An ROI of 35.0% for H/A betting and an ROI of 24.3% for DNB betting.

This isn’t a bad return for the last two sets of fixtures……………

The next bets will be on the blog on Friday evening as usual.



Tuesday, 6 March 2012

Tonight's Bets

Another poor weekend if I'm honest but a small profit was made overall due to a couple of important teams winning. It's been really tough the last few weeks to find away winners and the weekend was no different. Hopefully it changes tonight as most of these are away bets again!

Good luck. I'll update tomorrow with the weekend results and tonight's results.


The Football Analyst Bets for 6th March

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Barrow v Bath Bath 7.00 5.42
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 Championship Peterborough v Millwall Millwall 3.17 2.25
06/03/2012 Championship Reading v Portsmouth Portsmouth 9.00 6.88
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46
06/03/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Yeovil Yeovil 7.00 5.41
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52
06/03/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Hereford Hereford 3.10 2.19
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 8
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Barrow v Bath Bath 7.00 5.42
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46
06/03/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Yeovil Yeovil 7.00 5.41
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Barrow v Bath Bath 7.00 5.42
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46
06/03/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Yeovil Yeovil 7.00 5.41
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 7-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Fleetwood v Grimsby Fleetwood 1.73 1.31
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 8-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 8-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Barrow v Bath Bath 7.00 5.42
06/03/2012 Championship Reading v Portsmouth Portsmouth 9.00 6.88
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46
06/03/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Yeovil Yeovil 7.00 5.41
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47
06/03/2012 League 1 Tranmere v Notts Co Tranmere 2.70 1.91
06/03/2012 League 1 Walsall v Sheff Utd Walsall 3.80 2.70
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52
06/03/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Hereford Hereford 3.10 2.19
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 33
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 6-32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 3.75 2.65
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Barrow v Bath Bath 7.00 5.42
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46
06/03/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Yeovil Yeovil 7.00 5.41
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System 6-21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 Bsq Prem Barrow v Bath Bath 7.00 5.42
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46
06/03/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Yeovil Yeovil 7.00 5.41
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65

System TOX
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65 New Criteria

System STOY
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65 New Criteria

System STOZ
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
06/03/2012 League 1 Charlton v Colchester Colchester 6.00 4.45 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Huddersfield v Hartlepool Hartlepool 6.00 4.46 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Oldham v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.21 2.26 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 1 Preston v Chesterfield Chesterfield 3.50 2.47 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Gillingham v Barnet Barnet 4.75 3.52 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Rotherham v Crewe Rotherham 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Shrewsbury v Oxford Oxford 4.00 2.86 Old Criteria
06/03/2012 League 2 Torquay v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 2.65 New Criteria

Friday, 2 March 2012

Fed up saying this but....

It's another massive weekend for the systems.

I sometimes get astounded at the sheer number of bets thrown up at times and this weekend is one of these times. When I was updating the ratings after the midweek games, I could see quite quickly there were a number of low value bets appearing, especially at home but I'm surprised so many have made it onto systems 7 and 8. You very rarely get 2 system 7-22 home bets on the same day! You very rarely get 2 bets in a month on this system if I'm honest.

Hard to pinpoint the biggest game this weekend. I would personally take an Oldham win away to Sheff Utd due to the high odds as if they win, it means I can have a stinker and probably still not make a bad loss on the weekend. Also should mention Wolves made it onto system this week which was surprising to me. They seem a bit overpriced according to my ratings but not sure I'd be fancying them otherwise. Expect them to get humped away to Fulham.

Anyway, good luck and we'll see what happens. There is a Monday night game and there is a busy midweek card next week, so I might leave the update until after the midweek games.


The Football Analyst Bets for 2nd-5th March

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Braintree Braintree 5.50 4.19
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Lincoln Lincoln 5.00 3.67
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Southport v Newport Southport 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 Championship Ipswich v Bristol City Bristol City 4.50 3.35
03/03/2012 Championship Millwall v Reading Millwall 3.14 2.20
03/03/2012 Championship Watford v Burnley Burnley 2.88 2.05
03/03/2012 League 1 Bournemouth v Charlton Bournemouth 2.88 2.04
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93
03/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Brentford Yeovil 3.14 2.23
03/03/2012 League 2 Accrington v Port Vale Port Vale 3.12 2.21
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33
04/03/2012 Premiership Fulham v Wolves Wolves 6.92 5.26
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48
04/03/2012 Premiership Tottenham v Man Utd Tottenham 2.97 2.12
03/03/2012 Premiership Wigan v Swansea Wigan 2.57 1.81
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09
03/03/2012 SPL Hibernian v St Mirren St Mirren 3.44 2.43
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33
04/03/2012 Premiership Fulham v Wolves Wolves 6.92 5.26
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48

System 8
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Braintree Braintree 5.50 4.19
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Lincoln Lincoln 5.00 3.67
03/03/2012 Championship Ipswich v Bristol City Bristol City 4.50 3.35
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93
03/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Brentford Yeovil 3.14 2.23
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33
04/03/2012 Premiership Fulham v Wolves Wolves 6.92 5.26
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09
03/03/2012 SPL Hibernian v St Mirren St Mirren 3.44 2.43
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Braintree Braintree 5.50 4.19
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Lincoln Lincoln 5.00 3.67
03/03/2012 Championship Ipswich v Bristol City Bristol City 4.50 3.35
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93
03/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Brentford Yeovil 3.14 2.23
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33
04/03/2012 Premiership Fulham v Wolves Wolves 6.92 5.26
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09
03/03/2012 SPL Hibernian v St Mirren St Mirren 3.44 2.43
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33
04/03/2012 Premiership Fulham v Wolves Wolves 6.92 5.26
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48

System 7-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44

System 8-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33

System 8-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44

System 31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Braintree Braintree 5.50 4.19
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Lincoln Lincoln 5.00 3.67
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Southport v Newport Southport 2.00 1.44
02/03/2012 Championship Blackpool v Hull Hull 3.60 2.55
03/03/2012 Championship Crystal Palace v Peterborough Peterborough 4.01 2.86
03/03/2012 Championship Ipswich v Bristol City Bristol City 4.50 3.35
03/03/2012 League 1 Bury v Huddersfield Bury 4.18 3.02
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93
03/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Brentford Yeovil 3.14 2.23
03/03/2012 League 2 Accrington v Port Vale Port Vale 3.12 2.21
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48
03/03/2012 Premiership QPR v Everton QPR 3.20 2.27
04/03/2012 Premiership Tottenham v Man Utd Tottenham 2.97 2.12
03/03/2012 Premiership West Brom v Chelsea West Brom 4.34 3.14
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09

System 32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50

System 33
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50

System 6-32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50

System 21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Braintree Braintree 5.50 4.19
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Lincoln Lincoln 5.00 3.67
03/03/2012 Championship Ipswich v Bristol City Bristol City 4.50 3.35
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93
03/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Brentford Yeovil 3.14 2.23
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09

System 6-21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Grimsby v Braintree Braintree 5.50 4.19
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Mansfield v Lincoln Lincoln 5.00 3.67
03/03/2012 Championship Ipswich v Bristol City Bristol City 4.50 3.35
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93
03/03/2012 League 1 Yeovil v Brentford Yeovil 3.14 2.23
03/03/2012 Premiership Liverpool v Arsenal Liverpool 2.05 1.48
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09

System TOX
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Southport v Newport Southport 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
03/03/2012 Championship Watford v Burnley Burnley 2.88 2.05 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33 Old Criteria
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 SPL Hibernian v St Mirren St Mirren 3.44 2.43 New Criteria
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92 Old Criteria

System STOY
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Southport v Newport Southport 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
03/03/2012 Championship Watford v Burnley Burnley 2.88 2.05 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33 Old Criteria
04/03/2012 Premiership Tottenham v Man Utd Tottenham 2.97 2.12 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 Premiership Wigan v Swansea Wigan 2.57 1.81 Old Criteria
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 SPL Hibernian v St Mirren St Mirren 3.44 2.43 New Criteria
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92 Old Criteria

System STOZ
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
03/03/2012 Bsq Prem Southport v Newport Southport 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
03/03/2012 Championship Watford v Burnley Burnley 2.88 2.05 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Chesterfield v Tranmere Tranmere 2.88 2.03 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Colchester v Preston Colchester 2.10 1.50 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Oldham Oldham 7.65 5.93 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 League 2 Aldershot v Morecambe Aldershot 2.00 1.44 New Criteria
03/03/2012 League 2 Crawley v Torquay Crawley 1.75 1.33 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 Premiership QPR v Everton QPR 3.20 2.27 New Criteria
04/03/2012 Premiership Tottenham v Man Utd Tottenham 2.97 2.12 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 Premiership West Brom v Chelsea West Brom 4.34 3.14 New Criteria
03/03/2012 Premiership Wigan v Swansea Wigan 2.57 1.81 Old Criteria
05/03/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v Inverness Inverness 5.50 4.09 Old Criteria
03/03/2012 SPL Hibernian v St Mirren St Mirren 3.44 2.43 New Criteria
03/03/2012 SPL Kilmarnock v St Johnstone St Johnstone 2.75 1.92 Old Criteria