It’s the first weekend of September, so we all know what
that means….yes, Strictly Come Dancing is back on our TV screens. Oh yeah, I’m
back blogging the TFA results again too. ;)
It wasn’t my intention to be so quiet on the blog over
the Summer but something had to give in my life and it was the blog
unfortunately. After a 3rd great season last season, I took on another
35 members or so in the Summer and with another batch of new systems for next
season, it was a very busy Summer helping everyone get up to speed for this
upcoming season.
I don’t want to lay it on too thick but I spent a LOT of
time doing admin this Summer and building Excel sheets with portfolios of
systems for subscribers. I had a single weeks break over an 8 week spell and I
was putting in 2-3 hours every night replying to emails and doing stuff in
Excel. I know it was greatly appreciated by everyone I communicated with and no
matter what happens this season, I don’t think I could have prepared everyone
anyone better.
This season is a big season for my own betting too and I’m
taking that next step on the ladder to hopefully someday being able to earn
more from my betting annually as I can from my career. Long way away from this
at the moment but this season is another step on the ladder for me, so it’s a
big season for me personally. Last season was a great season for me betting
wise and I’m reinvesting a chunk of my winnings from last season to grow my
betting bank further, so the game is slightly more serious than it was before
for me. We’ll see how I do!
I again have a system on Bet Advisor and I don’t think I
can do much worse than last season on there, so we’ll see how that goes. I
wrote a review of where it went wrong for me on Bet Advisor last season and it
can be read here. http://blog.betadvisor.com/betting-strategy/the-football-analyst-201213-season-review.html#.UiuPL9I3uSo
In summary, the system was the worst system I had from all my systems last
season which is Sod’s Law really but hoping I can do better this season. No one
is following on Bet Advisor though as the system started with no results and
most other tipsters on there have amazing records, so it will take a season of
good results before I get anyone interested on Bet Advisor I think. We’ll see
how I do!
Some of you may have seen this on Cassini’s blog but I
have agreed to put a system into the FTL (Friendly Tipster League) that Cassini
runs. Being honest, I don’t have too much to gain as it’s not like I need the
publicity considering no one can join the service these days but I guess it’s
another test (similar to Bet Advisor) where I’m curious to see how I compare to
others.
I did come across like an arrogant pric* I suspect in some
of the comments but given my record at building systems and getting them to
work, based on the results of each person in the FTL last season, my system
should dominate the league over the season as long as my ratings have a season
like the last 3 seasons. Of course, if I have a poor season (I’m possibly due
one!), then I will be made to look a little foolish but I’ll have bigger issues
on my hands if my ratings have a poor season than caring where I finish in
Cassini’s league!
Last but not least, one complaint I’ve had this Summer is
that the service isn’t accessible to enough people. I’ve turned down a lot of
subscribers (and a lot of subscription fees!) by not letting more people join.
The service closed in July which meant many people missed out but quite simply,
given the amount of help I give to subscribers, the more new members I have,
the harder the work for me. If I took on any more this Summer, I would never
have got around everyone and some would be starting the season and still
waiting on help from me. In addition, the service has grown slowly as I want to ensure I never get to the stage where people can't achieve the recommended odds.
One way around this is to allow people to buy a portfolio
of system bets rather than just give them 53 systems of bets. I could just
supply a list of bets to follow and people could follow them rather than me
supplying thousands of bets each season and getting people to filter the bets
to get their own portfolio. I’m running a test in the SBC forum where I’ve
built 10 test portfolios, so it will be interesting to see how they do this season.
It may open the door for more people to follow the bets in future and reduce my workload at the same time.
Anyway, that’s a brief update of why I vanished from the
blog for a bit. Back now though and like the last 3 seasons, I’ll be using the
blog to update the system results.
Today was the first day of bets and below are the
results. In total, there were 55 system bets (including the 2 Under 2.5 bets).
Overall, a loss of 1.3pts today.
I think today is a great example of how difficult it is
going to be this season to keep track of results if purely reading the blog. A
loss of 1.3pts isn’t really indicative of the results today and I would be
amazed if too many people suffered a loss today. The Draw systems and Under
system created the loss but I’d be pulling my hair out if people are following
these systems rather than any of the other systems. Hence, I don’t think too
many would have had a losing day today. I had a nice start to the season myself which
is always good news! ;)
There are no midweek games, so next update will be after next weekend. It’s good to be back, it’s like I’ve never been away. ….
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