The Football
Analyst.
I said in one
of my recent comments on the blog that the service would be judged by TFA
subscribers rather than other tipsters and other anonymous posters who seem to
be giving me a fair bit of stick at the moment regarding the results this
season.
As many of you
will be aware, the Secret Betting Club (@sbcinfo) have their annual tipster
awards where their members vote for their best performing tipsters over the
past 12 months. The voting takes place in December and January each year and as
you will see down the right hand side of the blog, there are a number of awards
the service has won over the last couple of years.
In the
inaugural awards in 2011, TFA finished 3rd in the best overall
sports tipster category and in 2012, TFA was runner up in the best football
tipster category and the best overall tipster category. The service also
collected a 3rd place in the best overall sports tipster category in
2012.
Well, the results
are in for 2013 and.........
TFA won the best football tipster category. Yes, I’ve no idea either how I won it but I
did. Woohoo!
To be fair, I
think the award is great testament to the fact that subscribers to TFA can look
at the results over a 12 month period and not get too bogged down by the fact
this season so far has been a nightmare. I’m fed up saying it but this season
has been horrible so far and therefore, I honestly thought I would be lucky if
I finished in the top 3 for this award.
If the betting
market for this award opened up at the start of this season, I reckon TFA would
have been around 1.01 to win the award for best football tipster. Not sure any
service has matched my returns over the last 3 years or particularly in the
first half of 2013 as the second half of last season was a stunning time for
the service. At the start of September, it would have taken a disaster for me
to not win this award I suspect.
Well, guess
what. A disaster happened in September and the service is still trying to
clawback the losses suffered in that month. I think that’s the thing that
irritates me the most this season. Take away September and the service is
having an OK season and would have had a stunning 2013. Yes, it would not have
been as impressive this season as other seasons but even so, it would be in
line with most others in the market. Unfortunately, you can’t ignore the losses
in September and therefore, September haunts the returns for the service this
season and for 2013.
Like anyone
collecting an award, I feel the need to give out some notes of thanks I think.
Firstly, a
massive thanks to the SBC for having these awards and for doing the job they do
in the tipster market. I may not agree with everything the SBC does but I agree
100% with the way they operate and they represent the closest thing to a
regulator in the market at the moment. FWIW, I think Peter has done a fantastic
job and has built on the work done before by the other SBC guys before him.
A massive
thanks to everyone who supports TFA and particularly those that have been with
the service since the first or second season and have remained with the service through
the ups and downs as the service has grown. I think the fact that a small
number of subscribers come and go each season when they can’t make the service
work for them but the core subscriber base remains in-tact each season makes my
job easier as it means I don’t need to keep going back to basics each Summer
for newbies.
Thanks to
everyone this season (and last season) who have been so understanding about the
fact I can’t always release the bets at a set time every week or for the times
when I need to move the days of the bets. Trying to manage the service around a
full-time job isn’t easy but as I’ve done since day one, I try my best all the
time.
Thanks to
those who take the time to write to me during bad spells to try to keep my chin
up at times. This game is a lonely game at times and being a punter is hard
enough when you’re losing money but when others are following your bets and
losing money too, it’s tough to take. Thankfully, the service always bounces
back as I do and I hope this remains the case forever!
Overall,
really chuffed with the award and it has given me a major shot of enthusiasm at
a time when I am probably feeling the lowest I’ve ever felt about my betting
and the service. Many of you know I’ve
been here before (moaned about it on the blog all last season!) and I’ll no
doubt bounce back to my bubbly self when we’re on the next upward trend but I
do feel like this season will leave a mark on me.
I was probably
contemplating quitting (or having a break) at the end of the season over the
last few weeks as I wasn’t sure I could go through another season like this
one. I suspect the reason I survived the first 3 seasons as easily as I did was
because when you are winning and making money easily, staying up late to do
ratings and answer emails and write blog posts etc. isn’t difficult. Winning is
easy at gambling and we’re all good winners I suspect. Unfortunately, I don’t
tend to take losing too well and therefore, this season has been tough for me
mentally.
The crazy
thing is that if you were new to reading the blog, you would think the service
is on its knees and that I’m blowing my betting bank at the moment. I don’t
think the service is on its knees and my own TFA bets are marginally down at
the moment having reached a season high on 7th January and my
overall footie portfolio is up for the season. I’ve been in much worse places
than this over the last few seasons but maybe didn’t have the expectations I
have now and didn’t have to read so much about people losing following the same
bets as me!
Anyway, at the
moment, I’m about 1,000/1 to win an award for 2014 given the start I’ve had
this year and the results over the past few months, so let’s hope these odds
start to reduce as the year goes on!
Below are the
results for 2013 as a whole if people are interested. Not my best year by far
for the service but not too bad I think. 36 of the 39 UK systems made a profit
whereas 8 of the 11 Euro Systems were loss making. Overall, a 6.7% ROI for the
UK bets and a mighty big loss of 10% for the Euro bets.
Congratulations, Graeme. I always read your post and wish you and your subscribers all the best for the future. There will always be highs and lows but I'm sure all will go to plan.
ReplyDeleteBest wishes,
Jason
Hi Jason.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the comment and thanks for taking the time to read the blog like you do. I wish I had time to write more interesting pieces at times during the season but the blog does end up being a P&L blog for the systems along with some moans and gripes from me from time to time.
Hope you and your brother are both doing well.
Cheers,
Graeme