In the 4 years I’ve had the blog, there have been various
results updates whereby the systems have suffered large losses but I honestly
can’t remember too many updates as bad as this one. When you put this comment
together with the context that this season has been the toughest season to date
for the systems and you can understand how shi* I’m feeling at the moment.
It’s hard to put into words how frustrating and annoying
the last week has been. The systems started the month OK and managed to make some
early gains off the back of a good end to last month but the last week and a
bit has been torture. Two weekends ago was painful, the midweek was painful and
then the weekend just past was something like Armageddon. Put all this together and what you have is a
results update that isn’t going to make pretty reading.
The scary thing about March is that we’re only halfway
through the month! This month has the potential to be the biggest losing month
any set of systems has ever experienced I suspect. I’m not looking forward to
this if it happens! On the other hand, the systems could dig themselves out the
shi* and clawback some losses but given the way this season has going and the
number of disappointments I’ve had, I wouldn’t be surprised if the systems set
some unwanted records this month.
Anyway, here’s goes.
Est Systems
A loss of 38.03pts from 142 bets. Only 37 winners from
142 bets. The draw had a massive impact
on these systems with a profit of 25.4pts from AH0.5 betting.
The month started OK but the weekend past saw 6 winners
from 63 bets. Hopeless!
New Systems
Wow! A loss of 97.73pts from 267 bets. Only 64 winners
from 267 bets. Amazingly, AH0.5 had a profit of 32.71pts. A swing of 130pts if
dutching the draw and the selection rather than backing the selection! Shows
where the issue has been.
Misc Systems
A loss of 61.71pts from 115 bets. Only 20 winners from 115 bets. Same story as
the other systems really. AH0.5 made a profit of 17.81pts. Don’t you just love
draws! :(
Draw Systems
Well, I said it above. Don’t you just love Draws! A profit
of 101pts from 257 bets. I’ve very rarely had a set of systems win 100pts in an
update but given what has happened to the other systems above, you can maybe
see why the Draw systems have had such a good time! It was difficult to lose.
106 winners from 257 bets is unreal for a set of Draw
systems and these systems have far exceeded any expectations I had for them
this season. Unfortunately, most of my other systems haven’t come anywhere near
expectations I had for them this season!
Euro Systems
These systems have dropped off a cliff for the second
season running! It is like Déjà vu when you look at the P&L for last season
and this season.
A loss of 92.4pts from 312 bets. The systems are slightly
worse than break-even for the season now which is probably a fair reflection of
their performance this season.
Even after a poor performance so far this month, backing
the selections to Draw this season has created more profit than backing the
selections to win! Two seasons running
this has been the case. I’ll draw any conclusions at the season end as usual but
at the moment, it’s clear my ratings methodology can’t find an edge in these 4
Euro leagues if backing outright.
Under-Over
Systems
A profit of 1.53pts from 5 games.
Overall, a loss of 187.34pts from 1,098 bets. A -17% ROI.
As I said in the intro, I can’t recall too many updates
as bad as this but given the way this season has gone, maybe I shouldn’t be too
surprised.
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