I say the same every season but I can guarantee at least a
few times a season, anyone following these systems will think these are the
worst betting systems they have ever seen. I can guarantee you that people have
said this about my systems at least once this season already, probably more
than this if I’m honest going by some stuff I’ve read. However, I also know
that once or twice a season, these systems will do something pretty special as
I’ve seen it happen every season. How special can vary I think and I’ve seen
these systems do some brilliant things over the years I’ve been following them and
I think the run of form to start 2014 has been pretty special again.
Of course, given the start the systems had this season,
even after this decent run of form, the season returns still lag way behind
where we all hoped they’d be at the halfway stage of the season which is
roughly where we are at but when you look at the returns over the last 5-6
weeks or so, my ratings have been on fire.
The only thing I’ve learnt over the last 3-4 seasons is
that when you have a really decent run of form with the ratings, the next
drawdown isn’t too far away and therefore, I am sort of expecting a correction.
Given the poor returns over the season, this will be frustrating for many
following but I’ve seen it too many times now to know that we’re definitely
going to hit a poor spell soon. How bad it will be, I’ve no idea but let’s keep
an eye out for it as I’m sure it’s not too far away!
Anyway, let’s keep this update upbeat and here are the
results for 2014 so far.
Est Systems
A profit of 63.49pts from 55 bets at an ROI of 115%. 40
winners from 55 bets and the frustrating thing is that Hibs were a bet on
Sunday at nice odds on 3 systems and were 2-0 up with 10 mins left and drew
2-2. Hence, it could and should have been better.
These systems have been disappointing all season and
annoyingly, I think we’re having to face up to the fact that systems 7-21 to
8-22 are going to have a nightmare season as when they don’t claw back losses
from updates like these, you know they are doomed this season! They didn’t like
many of these bets and when you filter out winning bets like this, you aren’t
going to do too well I think.
New Systems
A profit of 92.17pts from 110 bets. An ROI of 84%. 67
winners from 110 bets and not quite as impressive as the Est Systems but the
difference here is that the combined systems on these systems haven’t been
filtering out these winners! The combined systems made 44pts from 39 bets. :)
Misc Systems
A profit of 65.69pts from 50 bets at an ROI of 131%! 36
winners from 50 bets and a really strong performance. Interestingly, systems
TOX, STOY and STOZ aren’t keeping pace with the other 3 systems this season and
this is like the complete opposite of the last two seasons.
Interestingly, I think the 3 systems TOX, STOY and STOZ
are more correlated to the combined systems 7-21 thru to 8-22 than any other
systems and therefore, all these systems appear to be struggling this season,
albeit the Est Systems are really struggling this season. Definitely something
to consider for next season and the future. Not sure you want these systems in
the same portfolio.
Draw Systems
A poor start to 2014 for these systems but again, they
didn’t have the best of luck. These systems always seem to get fairly close and
they did so again here but a late goal ruined it for a few bets. Only 5 winners
from 42 bets and a loss of 25.15pts.
Euro Systems
Not a lot of games here as some of the Euro leagues were
on a break but a loss of 0.4pts from 53 bets. No damage done but we need to see
a marked improvement in performance in the second half of the season or I don’t
think these Euro leagues will be part of the service next season.
Under/Over
Systems
I do find it slightly amusing that when my other ratings
hit some decent form at long last, these systems fall off the edge of a cliff.
Given they have been useless for the last two seasons, not sure I should be
surprised at all but I can’t remember too many worse results updates than this over the
last few seasons. A loss of 8.9pts from 13 bets. Said it many times before but
these won’t be part of the portfolio from next season!
Overall, a profit of 186.9pts from 323 bets. A great way to start 2014 and a great way to
the start the month. However, I’ve been here many times before and seen a few
months start like this and end with barely any profit, so a long way to go this
month.
I may just be a doom and gloom merchant but I would suspect it’s
odds against that the systems make any additional profit over the remainder of
this month. Let’s see if I’m right. I hope to be proved wrong!
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