Sunday, 31 October 2010

Statistics don't lie!

I was planning on writing my monthly review after updating my weekend results in a post but I think that would be doing the systems a disservice this month after what happened at the weekend. Therefore, I'll cover both off in the same post as the weekend results are part of the monthly results! In addition, if I look at things over a calendar month instead of just concentrating on the weekend, it will help focus my mind!

The Weekend

A loss of 11.1pts on the weekend. Another disaster really with a shocking performance from all the systems. Unfortunately, the biggest losses were on systems 7 and 8 which is where my staking is biased towards, so it wasn't a good weekend at all.

Sunderland was a massive game on Sunday as if they had lost, the systems would have lost over 20pts on the which would have been a much bigger disaster!

The games and the results are included in the monthly report below which shows all the bets in the month, so I won't post them twice.

October Review

Firstly, the positives. A profit of 18.6pts from 163 games in total. Another great performance this month from the systems although the rollercoaster has been unreal. The month started well with the best day the systems have ever had I think and then it has been all downhill from there. Even so, standing back and looking at it now, a good profit has been made and therefore, I can't be too disappointed.

System 6 has made a profit of 5.8pts from 92 games. Again, not a great ROI but then again, it isn't really a system that is meant to produce a high ROI as it is a high turnover, low ROI system.

System 7 has made a profit of 8.17pts from 46 games. A really decent ROI for any footie system I think and a great month for this system.

System 8 has made a profit of 2.44pts from only 23 games. Slightly disapointing returns from this system this month but then again, it's another good profit in the bank and it beats losing!

System 9 only had 2 bets in the month and made a profit of 2.2pts as both bets won. This system hasn't really had too many bets yet this season but it is doing enough to wash it's own face I think!

Overall then, 2 months into the season and a profit of 24,6pts from 285 games. Not as good as I hoped at this point in the season but when you look at it by system, there is a lot of hope for the future. Systems 7 and 8 in particular are doing very well and the ROI is simply being dragged down overall by the low ROI of system 6 which isn't too surprising based on historical results.

I think it is a promising start and gives us really good building blocks for the future.

I'm getting very close to being able to launch the next set of TFA systems into the live world. They have been doing OK this season so far in the background and will soon make their way out here to be proofed. All my system results are being proofed by the SBC this season and that includes some other systems that aren't being trialled on here. None have done well that well though (tiny profit overall) and are all being dropped so I can concentrate on these systems on here!

Systems 21-23 will be with you soon.

Friday, 29 October 2010

This week's bets

Below are the bets for this weekend. Definitely helps having a couple of Premiership bets in there for decent stakes in terms of placing the bets. The bookies seem to take these bets easily in one lump sum which saves me some time.

Was OK with getting on again this week in the main. Had to split Hayes and a couple of others but in the main, the bookies still appear to be taking all the bets I want which is good news.

I've been pleasantry surprised about how easy it has been to get the bets on each week for the stakes I'm using but I know it can change very quickly possibly. I think spreading the bets around so much definitely helps and not following any tipsters or using my accounts for horse-racing also helps. I suspect I just look like an average punter playing on the footie each week for a few bets at decent stakes.

This is actually the least I've laid out for a few weeks which is good as I feel fairly comfortable laying this amount out nowadays. Didn't think I'd be saying that at the start of the season but it's amazing how playing with winnings can change your mentality so much.

Good luck.

The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 29th/30th/31st October

System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
30/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Fulham v Wigan Wigan 4.50 B365
31/10/2010 12:00 Premiership Aston Villa v Birmingham Aston Villa 1.93 Pinnacle
31/10/2010 13:30 Premiership Newcastle v Sunderland Newcastle 2.20 VC
30/10/2010 17:20 Championship Barnsely v Hull Hull 3.25 Ladbrokes
30/10/2010 15:00 Championship Leicester v Preston Leicester 1.80 Skybet
30/10/2010 15:00 Championship Middlesbrough v Bristol City Middlesbrough 1.95 WH
30/10/2010 15:00 Championship QPR v Burnley QPR 1.91 WH
30/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Ladbrokes
30/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Exeter v Brentford Brentford 3.20 Betfred
30/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Leyton Orient v Rochdale Leyton Orient 2.50 VC
30/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Peterbrough v Brighton Brighton 3.10 B365
30/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Accrington v Cheltenham Accrington 2.00 VC
30/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Bradford v Oxford Oxford 2.63 Ladbrokes
30/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Northampton v Gillingham Gillingham 2.90 Skybet
29/10/2010 19:45 Bsq Prem Southport v Kidderminster Kidderminster 2.63 SJ
30/10/2010 15:00 Bsq Prem Hayes v Altrincham Hayes 1.91 Corals
30/10/2010 15:00 Bsq Prem Newport v Kettering Newport 1.75 VC
30/10/2010 15:00 Bsq Prem Rushden v Barrow Rushden 1.50 WH
30/10/2010 15:00 SPL Dundee Utd v Hibernian Hibernian 3.75 Corals

System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
30/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Fulham v Wigan Wigan 4.50 B365
31/10/2010 13:30 Premiership Newcastle v Sunderland Newcastle 2.20 VC
30/10/2010 15:00 Championship Leicester v Preston Leicester 1.80 Skybet
30/10/2010 15:00 Championship Middlesbrough v Bristol City Middlesbrough 1.95 WH
30/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Ladbrokes
30/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Accrington v Cheltenham Accrington 2.00 VC
30/10/2010 15:00 Bsq Prem Hayes v Altrincham Hayes 1.91 Corals

System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
31/10/2010 13:30 Premiership Newcastle v Sunderland Newcastle 2.20 VC
30/10/2010 15:00 Championship Middlesbrough v Bristol City Middlesbrough 1.95 WH
30/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Bristol Rovers v Carlisle Carlisle 2.88 Ladbrokes
30/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Accrington v Cheltenham Accrington 2.00 VC
30/10/2010 15:00 Bsq Prem Hayes v Altrincham Hayes 1.91 Corals

System 9
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
31/10/2010 13:30 Premiership Newcastle v Sunderland Newcastle 2.20 VC

System 10
None

Monday, 25 October 2010

Weekend Update

A good day yesterday got me back on track and overall, it was pretty close to being a break-even weekend for me. The systems made a profit of 0.13pts which after Saturday's performance, is quite good!

The big game for me yesterday was Arsenal on a couple of systems, so it was nice to see Man City reduced to 10 men so early on!

Overall, an OK weekend and it stops a poor run of form for the systems. I think that’s the way the football betting tends to go whereby you make nothing most weeks and then a good weekend will come when I make a good profit but a bad weekend is as likely to come along and wipe out some profits also. Hence, when you make a little on a weekend or break-even, I can’t knock it.

Saturday, 23 October 2010

Saturday Loss

Not fully up to date with my results and I won't have time until Monday now to post anything up.

However, today was a really bad again again and the systems are going through a sticky spell. Nothing is out of the ordinary though when compared to the past, so it's important that we all stick with the plan!

Still got a few decent looking bets tomorrow I think, so plenty of opportunity to get out break-even I think this weekend.

I'll post up how tomorrow goes when I get time.

Friday, 22 October 2010

Fingers crossed for a good weekend!

Below are my bets for the weekend. Another very busy weekend this weekend.

Had next to no trouble placing my bets last night (must be after last week's disaster!) but I'm trying to utilise my accounts just a tiny bit more now, so you'll see I placed some with Betfred, Boyles etc. as I try to make use of the fact I have 16 unrestricted accounts at the moment. Obviously, it won't take long for these guys to close me down if I win I suspect but we'll see what happens.

Fingers crossed for a good weekend as I can do with one after last weekend!

The Football Analyst Bets for weekend 23rd/24th October

System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
23/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Birmingham v Blackpool Birmingham 1.95 Tote
23/10/2010 15:00 Premiership West Brom v Fulham Fulham 3.75 Betfred
23/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Wigan v Bolton Wigan 2.50 Betfred
24/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Liverpool v Blackburn Liverpool 1.73 Boyles
24/10/2010 16:00 Premiership Man City v Arsenal Arsenal 3.03 Pinnacle
23/10/2010 15:00 Championship Hull v Portsmouth Portsmouth 3.00 Ladbrokes
23/10/2010 15:00 Championship Swansea v Leicester Leicester 3.75 WH
23/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Colchester v Notts County Notts County 3.40 Ladbrokes
23/10/2010 15:00 League 1 MK Dons v Exeter MK Dons 2.00 SJ
23/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Plymouth v Huddersfield Huddersfield 2.40 Ladbrokes
23/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Rochdale v Dagenham Dagenham 3.80 B365
23/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Walsall v Tranmere Walsall 2.10 Corals
23/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Cheltenham v Port Vale Port Vale 2.40 Ladbrokes
23/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Hereford v Accrington Accrington 2.63 SJ
23/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Morecambe v Stevanage Stevanage 2.63 Ladbrokes
23/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Northampton Oxford 1.83 Ladbrokes

System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
23/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Wigan v Bolton Wigan 2.50 Betfred
24/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Liverpool v Blackburn Liverpool 1.73 Boyles
24/10/2010 16:00 Premiership Man City v Arsenal Arsenal 3.03 Pinnacle
23/10/2010 15:00 Championship Hull v Portsmouth Portsmouth 3.00 Ladbrokes
23/10/2010 15:00 Championship Swansea v Leicester Leicester 3.75 WH
23/10/2010 15:00 League 1 Rochdale v Dagenham Dagenham 3.80 B365
23/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Cheltenham v Port Vale Port Vale 2.40 Ladbrokes
23/10/2010 15:00 League 2 Oxford v Northampton Oxford 1.83 Ladbrokes

System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Bookies
23/10/2010 15:00 Premiership Wigan v Bolton Wigan 2.50 Betfred
23/10/2010 15:00 Championship Hull v Portsmouth Portsmouth 3.00 Ladbrokes

System 9
None

Thursday, 21 October 2010

Midweek Results

Not much happening in midweek I'm afraid. A small loss overall due to Sunderland losing mainly.

Taking a break just now from placing my bets for the weekend tonight, so I'll get back to that and I'll post them up here when I'm done.

Tuesday, 19 October 2010

Midweek Bets

Apologies for not posting these earlier, just had no time today at all today.

Good luck if you are following.

The Football Analyst Bets for 19th October

System 6
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Boomaker
19-Oct-10 19:45 Championship Norwich v C Palace Norwich 1.66 Tote
19-Oct-10 19:45 Championship Burnley v Barnsley Burnley 1.70 Tote
19-Oct-10 19:45 Championship Notts Forest v Middlesborough Notts Forest 1.90 VC

System 7
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Boomaker
19-Oct-10 19:45 Championship Norwich v C Palace Norwich 1.66 Tote
19-Oct-10 19:45 Championship Burnley v Barnsley Burnley 1.70 Tote

System 8
Date Time League Game Selection Odds Boomaker
19-Oct-10 19:45 Championship Norwich v C Palace Norwich 1.66 Tote