Another shocking week for the systems and I’m starting to worry just a little bit now. Given we’re only about 60% of the way through the season, my worry now is that the betting banks for various systems are starting to come under a little bit of pressure. I’ll do a piece of analysis at the end of the month to look at the drawdowns on each system as quite a few are now at historical drawdowns I suspect but I’m praying that things turn soon.
After this weekend, my proofed results for this season are now showing a loss and to be loss making after 728 bets this season isn’t a great situation to be in. I think the thing I’m personally struggling with is that the systems only suffered 3 losing months in their first 20 live months and yet, January is going to be the 3rd losing month in the last 3 months! My overall ROI since inception has dropped to only 11% which is very disappointing.
It’s quite difficult to understand I think and my own betting P&L has taken a massive plunge over the last month or so and ultimately, I’m sitting here writing this tonight and questioning whether this is all worth it or not. I’m not a great loser as I’ve said before and I do take losing runs quite badly and at the moment, this is easily the lowest I’ve felt since I switched my attention to football betting 3 years ago.
As I said in the email last night, I just need to continue on and hope things improve. Thousands of live results and tens of thousands of backtested results lead me to believe that things will turn around at some point but boy, could I do with it happening soon!
So, the last week then. Can be summed up in one phrase I think….too many draws.
Another big loss here and with only 8 winners from 42 bets, no chance of making a profit. AH returns weren’t much better. Rubbish. A loss of 19.65pts from 42 bets.
A massive loss here. A loss of 33.86pts from 70 bets. Horrible. Clearly, the draw was to blame in the main with a profit of 3.33pts is using AH0.5 on all bets.
Another big loss here. A loss of 20.61pts from 42 bets. Disgusting.
A profit again on these systems. 2.31pts profit from 8 games. Shocking (in the surprised sense!)
I do feel a little sorry for these Euro systems this week. It’s a massive loss but with a bit of luck, they should have had a good weekend, bordering on a great weekend. A loss of 32.9pts from 80 games and yet, a profit of 6.3pts if using AH0.5. Just about sums it up.
Overall, another terrible update. A loss of 104.71pts from 242 bets.
Already looking forward to the next update……NOT!