Review of The Football Analyst

I've noticed that Mat Hare has posted an independant review of my systems from last season on his excellent blog.

http://drownintheriver.wordpress.com/2011/07/27/the-football-analyst-analysed/

It's great to have another person look at the systems as it gives me some more confidence around what I'm doing although admittedly, many of Mat's conclusions are the same as mines on here.

How much weight do you put on the run experienced by the systems in February and April last season?

I'm not sure I can answer that but all I know is that before February came along, I thought I was onto something pretty special here, something that you maybe wait a lifetime to come across. Unfortunately, 3 months later, I was doubting whether my systems even had an edge to tell the truth.

Depending on whether you are an optimist or not, you can look at that as a blip or a start of a trend.

Before Feb-11, the systems had experienced 18 winning months during backtesting and live results, with an average profit of 48pts and an overall ROI of 20%. It was the best run ever experienced by the systems and thankfully, I caught the first 5 months last season which averaged 60pts profit and in excess of 20% ROI.

So, we had the best run ever followed by the worst run ever.

What will happen next season?