Friday 30 December 2011

Weekend Bets (including tonight)

As I mentioned on my last results post, it is an important weekend for me. I track my results on a monthly basis (I know it doesn’t mean much but you need to have cut-offs somewhere!) and this month is in danger of being a losing month. It’s actually not quite as bad as I thought when I looked last night at the monthly totals (got a few pts to play with) but it would be massively disappointing to have a losing month again this season so soon after September. September was followed by two exceptional months and December started well but the last 3 weeks have been very tough. I can’t recall having a disaster of a day in December (touch wood!) but it has been small losses most days with the odd winning day and overall, it has been a hard month.

I touched on it when replying to a comment in my last post but I’m starting to feel a little run down with the footie. I sometimes forget during the Summer months when I’m building new algorithms and new systems that I need to keep these algorithms updated, find the system bets, place the bets and monitor the results and at times like this, it is very hard.

I read back some of my posts from this time last year and the comment on the 27th of December last year read “Finding it really difficult to keep everything up to date and get my bets on as well as keep the blog up to date but just about managing it”. 12 months on, many more systems on the go, another algorithm on the go, a SGM on the go with 3 systems and I can sort of understand why I’m feeling absolutely drained at the moment.

I’m starting to wonder whether this is sustainable in the short-term, never mind the long-term. When things are going really well, it’s a great buzz doing all of this but when things are going through a sticky patch, it’s really tough on me emotionally and mentally updating the ratings and doing everything else that comes with it. Interestingly, I think it doesn’t help having weeks of break-even or thereabout like I’ve had recently as it feels a waste of time. At least when I’m winning or losing, it means something to me but at the moment, it all feels very tough and not enjoyable at all.

I also need to start thinking about next season and what the plans are and I honestly don’t know where I’ll find the energy to launch a website, never mind try to find myself some subscribers.

I’m hoping things go well this weekend, I have another winning month for the systems and then I can look forward to the second half of the season, starting with the New Year’s Day card.

Anyway, below are the bets for this weekend. A few games are taking place tonight including Carlisle who have another tough away game again. A little annoyed they appear on so many systems as I can’t honestly see them winning after losing a 3-2 lead at Preston last time in the dying seconds (must be draining for them too as well as me!) but we’ll see what happens.

Be back on Monday morning with the bets for Monday and the midweek fixtures. I won’t be updating the weekend results until next week and I’ll need to do a monthly review also. There is no let up………

The Football Analyst Bets for 30th December to 1st January

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 Championship Birmingham v Blackpool Birmingham 2.00 1.45
31/12/2011 Championship Coventry v Brighton Coventry 2.78 1.94
31/12/2011 Championship Millwall v Crystal Palace Millwall 2.15 1.52
31/12/2011 Championship Notts Forest v Cardiff Notts Forest 2.75 1.92
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
30/12/2011 League 1 Tranmere v Bury Tranmere 2.25 1.60
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54
31/12/2011 Premiership Bolton v Wolves Bolton 2.25 1.60
31/12/2011 Premiership Stoke v Wigan Wigan 5.50 4.10
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
31/12/2011 Premiership Stoke v Wigan Wigan 5.50 4.10
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 8
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 Championship Birmingham v Blackpool Birmingham 2.00 1.45
31/12/2011 Championship Notts Forest v Cardiff Notts Forest 2.75 1.92
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54
31/12/2011 Premiership Bolton v Wolves Bolton 2.25 1.60
31/12/2011 Premiership Stoke v Wigan Wigan 5.50 4.10
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 Championship Birmingham v Blackpool Birmingham 2.00 1.45
31/12/2011 Championship Notts Forest v Cardiff Notts Forest 2.75 1.92
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54
31/12/2011 Premiership Bolton v Wolves Bolton 2.25 1.60
31/12/2011 Premiership Stoke v Wigan Wigan 5.50 4.10
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
31/12/2011 Premiership Stoke v Wigan Wigan 5.50 4.10
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 7-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 8-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 8-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Premiership West Brom v Everton Everton 2.85 2.01

System 31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 Championship Notts Forest v Cardiff Notts Forest 2.75 1.92
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
30/12/2011 League 1 Tranmere v Bury Tranmere 2.25 1.60
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
30/12/2011 League 2 Cheltenham v Rotherham Rotherham 3.75 2.71
31/12/2011 League 2 Northampton v Swindon Northampton 4.43 3.20
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54

System 32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33

System 33
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33

System 6-32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33

System 21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 Championship Notts Forest v Cardiff Notts Forest 2.75 1.92
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54

System 6-21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
01/01/2012 Bsq Prem Darlington v Gateshead Gateshead 2.90 2.02
31/12/2011 Championship Notts Forest v Cardiff Notts Forest 2.75 1.92
31/12/2011 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 1.85 1.35
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73
31/12/2011 League 1 Walsall v Rochdale Rochdale 3.30 2.33
31/12/2011 League 2 Bristol Rovers v Crewe Bristol Rovers 2.13 1.54

System TOX
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73

System STOY
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73

System STOZ
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
30/12/2011 League 1 Huddersfield v Carlisle Carlisle 5.00 3.73

2 comments:

  1. Hey Man,

    I wouldn't worry about it. People with half a brain know astronomical returns come with a price, namely massive variance and large draw-downs. It's just the nature of any speculative market, whether it be sports, forex, or something else.I imagine most of your followers (I hope) know this too.

    Keep on trooping and know that you have followers through thick and thin. You definitely have my support and I know how futile it feels running updates and/or posting bets when going through a tough run from personal experience. Keep at it though. I've been following your 7-21 system this season and plan to throughout the rest of the season.

    Kyle

    ReplyDelete
  2. Cheers for the comment Kyle.

    Hopefully you're a happy man today after Gateshead and Everton winning. :)

    Graeme

    ReplyDelete