Wednesday, 23 March 2011

I don't like milk anyway!

A little bit of a frustrating night again last night with the Accrington game finishing a draw. I heard this on Sky Sports last night and it was confirmed on the BBC today but it does appear as if Accrington scored a legitimate goal last night that crossed the line but neither the linesman nor referee were sure it crossed the line, so they didn't give it. These things tend to happen now and again as we all know, so there's not much we can do about it. It's a bit of a nightmare though when it happens on an 23/10 shot who appears on 11 systems! Instead of a 25pt profit for the systems, it is instead an 11pt loss. A 36pt swing due to the fact the referee and linesman missed a goal! grrrrr.....

Overall, I can't complain too much about things. 7 games, 3 wins, 3 draws and only one loser. A 0.66pt loss on the evening if backing each of the games that were determined to be value.

As I said to Rowan in a comment on the blog today, I will be undertaking a project to look at the returns from the systems by using Double Chance (dutching the win/draw) and also DNB (covering the draw) on each of the systems. It was mentioned by one of the guys across at the TFA forum and he's been asking me for a wee while to have a look at this. It won't take me too long to collect the draw odds data and I'll obviously report back my findings on here too.

In the meantime, I'll be back tomorrow with the weekend bets although after updating the results for last night, there won't be too many value bets this weekend again. There might be a gem or two in there though!


  1. Just came across your blog.
    Added it to my blog list.

    Looking forward to your posts!

    Have a look at mine if you have the time

  2. Thanks for the comment.

    I can't get time to do anything at the moment mate but good luck with the blog!