Quiet Weekend

As I said the other day, there are not too many bets this weekend due to the internationals and the way the weekend looked in terms of fixtures. There appears to be a lot of very close games and value is quite difficult to find when this is the case. I prefer the fixtures to have lots of odds on teams and big priced teams as the big priced teams usually have a value bet or two hidden in there!

The best value bet is Bury but I have my reservations about this one. Port Vale have a new manager and it’s things like this that tend to mess up my systems from time to time. Obviously, in the long run, things like this won’t really matter which is why I don’t really overanalyse the results of any particular day but on any day, circumstances like this can affect the results of a game where my ratings determine one of the teams as overpriced.

Anyway, we’ll see what happens. Below are the bets.

I laughed at an anonymous comment posted on the blog today on an older post. It says “What is this? I don’t understand how you can follow so many bets? How much do you charge?”

Being honest, I’m not even sure what this blog is and for anyone coming across it, unless you read the historical results and the season’s results to date, it must be pretty confusing!

Simply, this blog is an attempt by me to show off the work I’ve been doing for the past year or so. It’s not the finished article and therefore, that’s why I haven’t been going out my way to attract readers to the blog and I’m still not doing that. I liked the idea of slowly building up readership to the blog as the season has progressed and so far, I've managed that I think.

I don’t say anywhere on the blog that people should follow these bets as until the end of this season, I don’t really know how profitable they are. In addition, even if they are profitable, I might have fluked this season’s results and therefore, I wouldn’t suggest anyone go out their way to follow the bets with money at the moment. I follow the bets as do many others who are known to me but they understand the systems and the work that has gone into this project, so they understand the potential but also understand the risks.

As for charging, how could I charge anyone? I don’t know if the systems will prove profitable and I don’t know how to maximise the returns from the systems and therefore, how could I charge people for this? In addition, I follow the bets myself and have done OK this season, so I don’t need the hassle at the moment of worrying about others following the bets. It’s hard enough to make a profit at this game without trying to pull another X number along with you.

For anyone who is new to reading the blog, I suggest they just follow the blog, follow the results and try to think about whether my systems have an edge or not. If they do, then the bets may be worth following but I would never follow something myself until I saw that it had a significant edge.

In my opinion, the results from some of these systems look too good to be true and I have tended to find in life, when this is the case, it usually is! Hence, I would want to see lots of evidence that these systems are as good as they appear at face value before I even thought of following with my hard earned cash. Easy for me though as I built them all, so I know the potential these systems have. I’m not the only one though…..

http://theportfolioinvestor.blogspot.com/2011/03/if-carlsberg-did-football-tipping.html

The Football Analyst Bets for 25th-27th March

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
26/03/2010 League 1 Bournemouth v Charlton Bournemouth 1.91 Corals
26/03/2010 League 1 Colchester v Exeter Colchester 2.20 Tote
26/03/2010 League 1 Leyton Orient v Yeovil Yeovil 4.50 B365
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
26/03/2010 League 1 Bournemouth v Charlton Bournemouth 1.91 Corals
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes

System 8
None

System 9
None

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/03/2010 League 2 Lincoln v Rotherham Rotherham 2.70 Blue Sq
25/03/2010 League 2 Northampton v Torquay Torquay 2.75 Corals
25/03/2010 League 2 Aldershot v Accrington Accrington 3.00 Ladbrokes
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes
27/03/2010 League 2 Cheltenham v Gillingham Gillingham 2.38 Ladbrokes

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/03/2010 League 2 Northampton v Torquay Torquay 2.75 Corals
25/03/2010 League 2 Aldershot v Accrington Accrington 3.00 Ladbrokes
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes
27/03/2010 League 2 Cheltenham v Gillingham Gillingham 2.38 Ladbrokes

System 23
None

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes


System 7-22
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.63 Ladbrokes

System 8-21
None

System 8-22
None

System 16
None

System 17
Bet 1
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookies
25/03/2010 League 2 Northampton v Torquay Torquay 2.70
25/03/2010 League 2 Aldershot v Accrington Accrington 3.00
26/03/2010 League 2 Port Vale v Bury Bury 2.60
27/03/2010 League 2 Cheltenham v Gillingham Gillingham 2.25 B365
Any 2,3 and all 4 = 11 Bets

System 18
None

System 19
None

System 20
None