Weekend Bets

Here's the bets for the weekend. Before I looked at the fixtures this weekend but glanced at the betting, after the bets thrown up last weekend, I had a feeling I'd be taking on most of the teams at the bottom of the league who need points this weekend as the betting seems skewed towards these sort of teams as they need to win.

According to my figures, Aldershot are one of the biggest value bets this season at 3/1 away to Lincoln as Lincoln are useless. Lincoln have no wins in their last 10 and have lost their last 3 home games 6-0, 4-0 and 2-0! They are odds on this weekend though. They need a point to stay up (depending on what happens with Barnet) and they may need to win. Unfortunately, my ratings can't take this into account and Aldershot are thrown up as a massive value bet as they should be 6/4 and they are 3/1!

Gillingham are unbeaten in their last 11 away games and yet, can be backed at 12/5 in a game they need to win to get into the playoffs. Chesterfield are already promoted and are having a promotion party but need a point to win the league. Their is nothing between these two either, so 12/5 is huge.

Port Vale won 7-2 last time out and yet, are 13/5 against Barnet who are useless. Of course, Barnet need to win and Port Vale don't!

Newcastle are different class to Birmingham and have scored 4,5,5,6 against bottom half sides at home this season in 4 of the games and even beat Birmingham easily 2-0 in Birmingham which is amazing considering the record Birmingham have at home. Of course, Newcastle and Birmingham probably both need a point each to stay up. Draw anyone?

As you can see, I'm being quite cynical about this weekend's games but I honestly don't know what to make of it. I keep telling myself this sort of thing is in all my backtesting and backfitting each season and therefore, I can't do anything about this but follow the bets as I usually do.

This is meant to be a trial season and therefore, I'm curious to see what happens!


The Football Analyst Bets for 7th May

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Bournemouth v Rochdale Bournemouth 2.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Colchester v Bristol Rovers Colchester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Southampton v Walsall Southampton 1.73 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Tranmere v Swindon Swindon 5.00 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Barnet v Port Vale Port Vale 3.60 VC
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.80 Ladbrokes

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Colchester v Bristol Rovers Colchester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Southampton v Walsall Southampton 1.73 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.80 Ladbrokes

System 8
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Southampton v Walsall Southampton 1.73 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.80 Ladbrokes

System 9
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 1 Colchester v Bristol Rovers Colchester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Barnet v Port Vale Port Vale 3.60 VC
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.50 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.80 Ladbrokes

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals
07/05/2011 League 2 Barnet v Port Vale Port Vale 3.60 VC
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes

System 23
None

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Barnet v Port Vale Port Vale 3.60 VC
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 1 Colchester v Bristol Rovers Colchester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Barnet v Port Vale Port Vale 3.60 VC
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 1 Colchester v Bristol Rovers Colchester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals

System 7-22
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals

System 8-21
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals

System 8-22
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40 B365
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 4.00 Ladbrokes
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 2.00 Corals

System 16 Bet 1
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40
07/05/2011 League 1 Colchester v Bristol Rovers Colchester 1.80
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.75
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Corals
Any 3,4 and all 5 = 16 Bets

System 16 Bet 2
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 3.80
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 1.95
07/05/2011 League 1 Southampton v Walsall Southampton 1.70 VC
Any 2 and all 3 = 4 Bets

System 17
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 1.91
07/05/2011 League 2 Barnet v Port Vale Port Vale 3.60
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 B365
Any 2,3,4 and all 5 = 26 Bets

System 18
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.75
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75 Corals
Any 2,3,4 and all 5 = 26 Bets

System 19
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40
07/05/2011 League 1 Colchester v Bristol Rovers Colchester 1.80
07/05/2011 SPL Hamilton v Hibs Hibs 2.75
07/05/2011 Championship Leicester v Ipswich Leicester 1.80 Corals
Any 2,3,4 and all 5 = 26 Bets

System 20
Date League Game Selection Odds Bookie
07/05/2011 League 2 Barnet v Port Vale Port Vale 3.60
07/05/2011 League 2 Burton v Accrington Accrington 2.88
07/05/2011 League 2 Chesterfield v Gillingham Gillingham 3.40
07/05/2011 League 2 Lincoln v Aldershot Aldershot 3.75
07/05/2011 Premiership Newcastle v Birmingham Newcastle 1.91 B365
Any 2,3,4 and all 5 = 26 Bets