High volatility weekend?

A very busy weekend coming up with a very high average odds overall (3.95), so it does scream high volatility if I’m honest. I suspect it could be a rollercoaster and if all of the big priced selection lose (as they are meant to do most of the time), it could well be a nightmare weekend. If I’m honest, I much prefer the weekends where we have a good mixture of Homes and Aways and especially where we have a lot of well fancied Aways as I sort of live with the fact that most weekends will be a +50p or -50pt weekend at best and worst case scenarios. I can live with that fairly comfortably.

This weekend, there are 42 system bets at odds of 5+, so it could easily (very easily!) be -42pts on these, so the variance on a weekend like this is always going to be massive. Of course, if a couple win, it will be huge profits on these bets and therefore, I reckon this weekend could be anywhere from -100pts to +100pts!

The biggest game for the systems is Aldershot. I have them a good bit shorter away from home against a very out of form Macclesfield who have lost 6 on the spin (barely managed shots on target) and are currently the most out of form team in the league on my ratings. Aldershot appear to be improving on all recent form and according to my ratings, they should be too good for Macclesfield here. We’ll see what happens.

Good luck and I’ll be back on Sunday evening with the results update.

The Football Analyst Bets for 17th-19th February

System 6
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Luton v Tamworth Tamworth 10.00 8.00
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
17/02/2012 Championship Reading v Burnley Burnley 4.33 3.09
18/02/2012 League 1 Exeter v Bury Bury 3.20 2.27
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69

System 7
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22

System 8
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30

System 21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Luton v Tamworth Tamworth 10.00 8.00
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
17/02/2012 Championship Reading v Burnley Burnley 4.33 3.09
18/02/2012 League 1 Exeter v Bury Bury 3.20 2.27
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69

System 22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94

System 6-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Luton v Tamworth Tamworth 10.00 8.00
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24
17/02/2012 Championship Reading v Burnley Burnley 4.33 3.09
18/02/2012 League 1 Exeter v Bury Bury 3.20 2.27
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69

System 6-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94

System 7-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22

System 7-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94

System 8-21
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30

System 8-22
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94

System 31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Luton v Tamworth Tamworth 10.00 8.00
18/02/2012 Championship Crystal Palace v Watford Watford 3.43 2.41
18/02/2012 Championship Ipswich v Cardiff Ipswich 2.75 1.98
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24
17/02/2012 Championship Reading v Burnley Burnley 4.33 3.09
18/02/2012 League 1 Exeter v Bury Bury 3.20 2.27
18/02/2012 League 1 Leyton Orient v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.50 2.49
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55
18/02/2012 League 2 Barnet v Shrewsbury Barnet 3.23 2.28
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69

System 32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Championship Crystal Palace v Watford Watford 3.43 2.41
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30

System 33
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94

System 6-32
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30

System 21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Luton v Tamworth Tamworth 10.00 8.00
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
17/02/2012 Championship Reading v Burnley Burnley 4.33 3.09
18/02/2012 League 1 Exeter v Bury Bury 3.20 2.27
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69

System 6-21-31
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Luton v Tamworth Tamworth 10.00 8.00
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24
18/02/2012 Championship Notts Forest v Coventry Notts Forest 1.91 1.38
17/02/2012 Championship Reading v Burnley Burnley 4.33 3.09
18/02/2012 League 1 Exeter v Bury Bury 3.20 2.27
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22
19/02/2012 SPL Aberdeen v St Johnstone St Johnstone 3.30 2.30
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69

System TOX
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02 New Criteria
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22 New Criteria
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69 Old Criteria

System STOY
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02 New Criteria
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Wimbledon v Morecambe Morecambe 3.10 2.22 New Criteria
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69 Old Criteria

System STOZ
Date League Game Selection Odds DNB Odds
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Forest Green v Gateshead Gateshead 2.88 2.02 New Criteria
18/02/2012 Bsq Prem Kidderminster v Lincoln Lincoln 5.20 3.86 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 Championship Crystal Palace v Watford Watford 3.43 2.41 New Criteria
18/02/2012 Championship Ipswich v Cardiff Ipswich 2.75 1.98 New Criteria
18/02/2012 Championship Peterborough v Bristol City Bristol City 3.15 2.24 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 Leyton Orient v Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 3.50 2.49 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 MK Dons v Oldham Oldham 6.50 4.87 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 Sheff Utd v Preston Preston 7.23 5.54 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 League 1 Walsall v Wycombe Wycombe 3.58 2.55 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Macclesfield v Aldershot Aldershot 2.75 1.94 New Criteria
18/02/2012 League 2 Southend v Crewe Southend 1.75 1.30 Old Criteria
18/02/2012 SPL Dundee Utd v St Mirren St Mirren 5.00 3.69 Old Criteria